Parlay: New York Mets VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-06-28

Best Same-Game Parlay for Mets vs. Pirates (2025-06-28):
Bookmaker: BetOnline.ag
Legs:
1. New York Mets Moneyline (-153)
2. New York Mets -1.5 Run Line (+213)
3. Under 9.5 Total Runs (-220)

Why This Works:
- Mets Moneyline (1.74): The Mets are a 68.4% win rate as favorites this season, and their 3.21 ERA (1st in MLB) suggests strong pitching to secure a win.
- Mets -1.5 Run Line (2.13): Their offense (led by Juan Soto, Pete Alonso, and Francisco Lindor) averages 8.3 runs per game in their last 10, making a cover likely.
- Under 9.5 Runs (1.88): The Mets’ 3.21 ERA vs. the Pirates’ 3.87 ERA creates a pitcher-friendly matchup. Both starters (Blackburn and Falter) have sub-4.00 ERAs, and the Mets’ defense ranks top-5 in fielding percentage.

Combined Odds: ~6.87 (14.5% implied probability).

Key Context:
- The Pirates’ 3.87 ERA ranks 15th in MLB, making them vulnerable to scoring.
- The Mets’ 36-10 record in games with ≥8 hits shows they thrive offensively when the bats align.
- The 9.5 total is inflated for PNC Park, but the pitching matchup and defensive metrics favor the Under.

Avoid Over/Under Parlays with Pirates: The Pirates’ 3.87 ERA and weak offense (26th in MLB in runs per game) make them unlikely to support an Over.

Final Verdict: This parlay leverages the Mets’ dominance as favorites, their elite pitching, and the pitcher-friendly matchup to maximize value. Stick with BetOnline.ag for all legs to meet the same-bookmaker rule.

Payout Example: A $100 bet returns ~$687 if all three legs hit.

Created: June 28, 2025, 5:43 p.m. GMT