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Parlay: Philadelphia Phillies VS Miami Marlins 2025-06-17

Same-Game Parlay: Phillies vs. Marlins (June 17, 2025)
Best Bets & Payouts

1. Philadelphia Phillies to Win (-157)
- Best Odds: 1.53 (Caesars)
- The SportsLine model projects a 5.4-4.3 win for the Phillies. Mick Abel (1-0, 2.35 ERA) is favored over Sandy Alcantara (3-7, 7.14 ERA), despite Alcantara’s recent six-inning shutout.

2. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Run Line (-110)
- Best Odds: 1.91 (FanDuel)
- The Phillies’ offense (5.4 projected runs) is expected to outpace the Marlins’ 4.3. The spread favors Philly’s balanced attack (Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber) and Alcantara’s recent struggles.

3. Total Runs Over 8.5 (-110)
- Best Odds: 1.91 (FanDuel)
- The model’s 9.7-run projection (5.4-4.3) comfortably clears the 8.5 total. Alcantara’s recent dominance is offset by his 7.14 ERA and the Phillies’ aggressive lineup.

Combined Payout: +463 (1.53 x 1.91 x 1.91 ≈ 5.63)

Why This Parlay Works:
- Pitcher Matchup: Abel’s 2.35 ERA vs. Alcantara’s 7.14 ERA tilts the game toward the Phillies.
- Offensive Edge: Philly’s 5.4-projected runs vs. Miami’s 4.3 creates a clear Over 8.5 opportunity.
- Spread Value: -1.5 is a manageable line given the model’s 0.9-run edge for Philly.

Key Stat: The Phillies have outscored opponents by +1.1 runs per game this season, while the Marlins are -1.3.

Where to Bet: FanDuel offers the best spread/Over odds at 1.91 each. Caesars has the sharpest moneyline at 1.53.

Final Note: This parlay hinges on Philly’s offense capitalizing on Alcantara’s inconsistency and the Marlins’ porous bullpen. A 5-4 or 6-5 final would hit all three legs.

Payout Example: A $100 bet returns $463.

No player props included; all bets based on publicly available odds as of June 17, 2025.

Created: June 17, 2025, 4:43 p.m. GMT