Parlay: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Detroit Tigers 2025-06-17

Best Same-Game Parlay for Tigers vs. Pirates (6/17/2025):
Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-190) + Detroit -1.5 Run Line (+205) + Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

Why This Works:
1. Tigers Moneyline (-190):
- Detroit is a dominant favorite (68.1% win rate as ML favorites this season).
- Casey Mize (2.95 ERA) faces a Pirates offense ranked last in MLB slugging (.336).

Tigers -1.5 Run Line (+205):
- Tigers’ pitching staff has the 4th-best ERA (3.36) and 5th-best WHIP (1.189) in MLB.
- Detroit’s offense ranks 6th in runs scored, making a cover likely.

Under 8.5 Runs (-110):
- Pirates rank last in MLB in runs (232) and slugging.
- Tigers’ pitching (3.36 ERA) and Pirates’ hitting (.336 SLG) suggest a low-scoring game.

Odds & Payouts:
- Combined Odds: ~13.5/1 (1.5 * 2.05 * 1.82 ≈ 5.59; adjust for vig).
- Example Bet: A $25 parlay pays ~$337.50 if all three hit.

Key Stat Check:
- Tigers’ starters have allowed 2.9 runs per game this season.
- Pirates’ hitters are striking out at a 24.8% rate (10th-worst MLB).

Verdict: A high-confidence parlay leveraging Detroit’s pitching dominance and Pittsburgh’s offensive struggles. The Tigers should win comfortably, and the total likely stays under 8.5.

“When you’ve got Mize on the mound and the Pirates swinging like they’re in a batting cage, this parlay writes itself.” — The SABRmetrics Show

Created: June 17, 2025, 4:45 p.m. GMT