Create Predictions

Parlay: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Milwaukee Brewers 2025-06-24

Same Game Parlay: Milwaukee Brewers to Cover the Spread (-1.5) + Over 7.5 Runs
Bookmaker: BetOnline.ag
Combined Odds: ~3.60 (1.93 x 1.87)

Why This Parlay?
1. Brewers to Cover (-1.5):
- Milwaukee is a 67.6% favorite as a moneyline favorite this season.
- Freddy Peralta (29, All-Star-caliber) starts for the Brewers, who have a 3.86 team ERA.
- The Pirates’ offense is MLB-worst in home runs (53) and slugging (.336), making it hard to keep up.

2. Over 7.5 Runs:
- The previous game in this series ended 5-4 (9 total runs), suggesting a high-scoring trend.
- The Pirates’ Andrew Heaney (34, 12th MLB season) has a 4.12 ERA this year, and the Brewers’ offense (43-35 record) is primed to exploit his weaknesses.
- The Over is priced at 1.87 (-187) on BetOnline.ag, reflecting a 64% implied chance of 8+ runs.

Key Stats:
- Brewers have won 67.6% of games as favorites.
- Pirates are last in MLB in HRs (53) and slugging (.336).
- Peralta’s 3.15 ERA and 10.2 K/9 vs. Heaney’s 4.12 ERA and 6.8 K/9.

Risks to Consider:
- Heaney’s durability (34 years old) could lead to a short outing, inflating the run total.
- The Brewers’ 11th save in 11 chances (David Bednar) might limit late-game drama, but the Pirates’ recent 5-4 win shows they can rally.

Verdict: A balanced play on the Brewers’ dominance and a high-scoring game. The Brewers’ pitching and the Pirates’ weak offense make the spread a safe bet, while Heaney’s volatility boosts the Over. Go with BetOnline.ag for the best combined odds.

“The Brewers are the steak, the Pirates are the salad—both on the menu, but only one will satisfy.”

Created: June 24, 2025, 11:48 a.m. GMT