Parlay: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Milwaukee Brewers 2025-06-25

Same-Game Parlay: Pirates to Cover the Spread (+1.5) & Over 6.5 Runs
Bookmaker: Bovada (Best Value)
Odds:
- Pirates to Cover +1.5 (-151)
- Over 6.5 Runs (+130)
Combined Implied Odds: +380 (4.8x Return)

Why This Works:
1. Pirates’ Pitching Edge: Paul Skenes (1.85 ERA) is a top-tier starter, and the Pirates’ staff has held opponents to 3.3 runs per game. This makes a low-scoring game likely, but the -1.5 spread is manageable if the Pirates avoid a blowout.
2. Brewers’ Offense: Milwaukee’s 10th-ranked offense (366 runs) and Christian Yelich’s 8-game hitting streak suggest they’ll score at least 3-4 runs, keeping the total Over 6.5.
3. Model Insight: The SportsLine Projection Model leans Over (7.2 runs), aligning with this parlay.

Key Matchup:
- Skenes vs. Yelich: If Yelich gets hot against Skenes, the Over locks in.
- Pirates’ Offense: Their 3.3 R/G average makes a 4-run game plausible, but not a blowout, helping the Pirates cover.

Avoiding Traps:
- Don’t take the Pirates to win outright (-121) due to their weak offense.
- Avoid Under 6.5 (-200) despite Skenes’ ERA; Milwaukee’s bats are too strong.

Final Verdict: This parlay balances Skenes’ dominance with Milwaukee’s offensive firepower, creating a high-upside bet with +380 odds.

Created: June 25, 2025, 3:37 p.m. GMT