Parlay: Samsung Lions VS Kiwoom Heroes 2025-06-28
Same-Game Parlay: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes (June 28, 2025)
Bookmaker: Caesars (WilliamHill US)
Pick 1: Kiwoom Heroes +1.5 (-110)
- Why? Kiwoom is 7th in the KBO but only 0.5 games behind 5th-place Samsung. With Samsung’s inconsistent pitching (4.15 ERA) and their reliance on home-run power (75% of HRs at home), Kiwoom has a realistic shot to cover the 1.5-run spread.
Pick 2: Over 7.0 Runs (-110)
- Why? Samsung’s home park (Samsung Lions Park) has a 1574 park factor, the highest in the league, and 61 of their 84 HRs this season came there. Kiwoom’s offense, while not elite, should capitalize on the hitter-friendly environment. Samsung’s HR-heavy attack (27 HRs from Lewin Diaz alone) also ensures a high-scoring game.
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Odds & Value
- Combined Implied Probability: ~32.1% (1/(1.711.83))
- Potential Payout:* $100 → $313 (3.13x)
Key Context
- Samsung’s away performance is weak (only 23 HRs on the road).
- Kiwoom’s +1.5 spread is a value play given Samsung’s shaky pitching.
- The Over 7.0 is a safe leg due to the park’s HR-friendly design.
Final Verdict: This parlay balances value and context. Kiwoom covering the spread hinges on Samsung’s pitching, while the Over relies on the park’s inherent scoring boost. A win for Kiwoom or a low-scoring game would tank the parlay, but the risk is justified by the high-reward payout.
Bet Now: Caesars offers the best odds for this combination.
Created: June 28, 2025, 7:31 a.m. GMT