Parlay: San Francisco Giants VS Arizona Diamondbacks 2025-07-01
Same Game Parlay Pick: Giants to Win + Over 9.5 Runs
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Combined Odds: 4.38 (2.16 x 2.03)
Why This Parlay?
1. Giants to Win (-130 ML)
- Odds: 2.16 (implied probability: ~46.3%)
- Edge: The Giants are favored with ace Logan Webb (2.52 ERA) on the mound. Arizona’s Zac Gallen (5.75 ERA) has struggled this season, and the D-backs are winless in their last 4 games.
- Over 9.5 Runs (-105)
- Odds: 2.03 (implied probability: ~49.3%)
- Edge: Both teams have explosive offenses. The Giants’ Heliot Ramos (13 HRs) and Rafael Devers (17 HRs) face Arizona’s Eugenio Suarez (26 HRs) and Ketel Marte (.300 AVG). With Gallen’s poor control and Webb’s recent volatility, 10+ runs are likely.
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Implied Probability & Value
- Total Implied Probability: 46.3% (Giants win) + 49.3% (Over) = 95.6%
- Vig-Free Edge: 4.4% (100% - 95.6%). A +EV bet with strong upside.
Key Stats to Watch
- Gallen’s ERA vs. LHP: 7.20 (Giants’ lineup is LHP-heavy).
- Suarez’s Power: 26 HRs in 2025, including 10 in his last 20 games.
- Webb’s Recent Start: Allowed 5 ER in 4 IP vs. the Rockies (May 2025).
Verdict: This parlay balances the Giants’ pitching edge with the high-scoring potential of both offenses. Take LowVig.ag’s best combined odds for maximum return.
“Betting on the Giants’ bat and Gallen’s meltdown? That’s not a parlay—it’s a home run derby with a side of heartburn.”
Created: July 1, 2025, 6:21 p.m. GMT