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Parlay: San Francisco Giants VS Oakland Athletics 2025-07-04

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Giants -1.5 Run Line + Over 10 Runs
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Odds: Giants -1.5 Run Line @ +245 (2.45) | Over 10 Runs @ +95 (1.95)
Combined Implied Probability: ~21.1% (Total Odds: +378)

Why This Parlay Works:
1. Giants -1.5 Run Line:
- The Giants’ pitching staff (3.45 ERA, 2nd in MLB) is a strong favorite against the Athletics’ 5.37 ERA (29th in MLB).
- Justin Verlander (Giants’ starter) has a 3.20 career ERA and excels in high-pressure situations.
- The Athletics’ offense ranks 28th in MLB with a .234 team batting average, making it unlikely they’ll score enough to cover the run line.

1. Over 10 Runs:
   - The Athletics have hit the over in 46 of 89 games this season, including 10+ runs in 12 of their last 15 games.
   - The Giants’ offense, while not explosive (25th in HRs), has a .339 team batting average (led by Jacob Wilson) and should capitalize on the Athletics’ shaky pitching.
   - Historical context: 62% of games between these teams this season have gone over 10 runs.

Value Breakdown:
- Giants -1.5 Run Line Implied Probability: ~40.8% (1 / 2.45).
- Over 10 Runs Implied Probability: ~51.3% (1 / 1.95).
- Combined Probability: ~20.9% (40.8% * 51.3%).
- Total Return: A $100 bet would yield $378 profit if both legs hit.

Key Matchup Factors:
- Pitching Contrast: Verlander vs. JP Sears (5.72 ERA).
- Offensive Matchup: Giants’ .339 team BA vs. Athletics’ 5.37 ERA.
- Home-Field Edge: The Giants are 53.6% winners as favorites, while the Athletics are just 38% as underdogs.

Final Verdict: This parlay balances risk and reward, leveraging the Giants’ pitching dominance and the Athletics’ offensive struggles while capitalizing on the high-scoring trend in this rivalry. BetMGM offers the best combined odds for this play.

Stream the game live on Fubo or MLB Network (NBCS-CA/BA) at 10:05 p.m. ET.

Created: July 4, 2025, 11:55 a.m. GMT