Parlay: Seattle Mariners VS Minnesota Twins 2025-06-26

Same Game Parlay: Minnesota Twins -1.5 & Under 8.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel (Best Odds)
Odds: 2.6 (Twins -1.5) x 1.98 (Under 8.5) = ~5.15 (19.4% implied probability)

Why This Parlay?
1. Twins’ Pitching Edge: Minnesota’s staff has the 14th-best WHIP in MLB, and Simeon Woods Richardson (5.06 ERA) faces a Mariners offense that’s scored just 4.2 runs per game over their last 10.
2. Low-Scoring Matchup: Both starters (Richardson, 5.06 ERA vs. Hancock, 5.43 ERA) struggle with consistency, but the Twins’ defense and home-field advantage favor a tight game. The Under 8.5 has value at +198 (1/1.98) given the combined 10.49 ERA of the starters.
3. Spread Logic: The Twins are -1.5 on the run line, but their 25-25 record in favorable moneyline spots and home-field advantage make them a safer play than the Mariners’ +1.5.

Key Stat to Watch:
- Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 2.3 runs per game in their last five home starts, including three Under 8.5-run games.

Avoid Over/Under Parlays: The Over 8.5 is a weaker leg (1.83-1.83 odds) due to the shaky pitching, but combining it with the Twins’ spread adds value.

Final Verdict: This parlay balances risk and reward. The Twins’ defense and pitching should keep the game low-scoring, and the spread (-1.5) is achievable if they limit damage and score 3-4 runs. Take the Twins -1.5 & Under 8.5 for a 5.15 payout.

Note: Odds may vary slightly by bookmaker; ensure all legs are from the same site.

Created: June 26, 2025, 3:42 p.m. GMT