Parlay: Seattle Mariners VS New York Yankees 2025-07-09

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Seattle Mariners to Win + Over 9.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds:
- Mariners to Win: +2.36 (Implied Probability: ~42.37%)
- Over 9.5 Runs: +187 (Implied Probability: ~53.48%)

Combined Implied Probability: ~22.7%
Combined Odds: 4.40 (≈+340)

Why This Works:
1. Mariners to Win: Despite being underdogs, Seattle’s potent offense (119 HRs, 406 SLG) and Logan Gilbert’s dominance (64.8% K-rate vs. Yankees) tilt the line in their favor.
2. Over 9.5 Runs: Both teams rank in the MLB’s top 10 in scoring (Yankees 4th, Mariners 12th), with the Over hitting in 85% of their combined games this season.

Key Stat: The Over has landed in 11 of Seattle’s last 17 road games, and the Yankees have gone Over in 38 of 89 games this season.

Avoid the Traps:
- Don’t pair Mariners to win with Judge to strike out (no prop odds provided in data).
- Don’t take Yankees -1.5 spread; their 46-34 SU record as favorites doesn’t justify the -162 price.

Final Verdict: This parlay balances value and volume. The Mariners’ 42.4% implied win chance and 53.5% Over probability create a 22.7% edge. At +340, it’s a smart play if you trust Seattle’s underdog magic and the explosive offense.

“The Mariners are the underdog with the upper hand, and the runs are coming like a Judge-sized HR derby.” 🏟️⚾

Created: July 9, 2025, 2:02 p.m. GMT