Parlay: Shuai Zhang VS Olga Danilovic 2025-06-30
Same-Game Parlay Recommendation: Olga Danilovic vs. Shuai Zhang (Wimbledon 2025)
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Combined Odds: 3.35 (1.69 x 1.98)
### Legs of the Parlay
1. Olga Danilovic to Win the Match (Moneyline)
- Odds: +69% (1.69)
- Rationale: Danilovic is the clear favorite despite her grass-court struggles. Zhang’s age (32) and recent decline in form (ranked 85th) make her an unreliable underdog. LWOT analysts highlight Danilovic’s topspin forehand as a key weapon to exploit Zhang’s weaker net game.
2. Under 21.5 Total Games
- Odds: +98% (1.98)
- Rationale: A 3-set match is likely, but Zhang’s aggressive net play could limit rallies. Danilovic’s defensive consistency and Zhang’s drop in form suggest a lower-scoring contest. The LWOT team predicts a tight 3-set match, aligning with the under.
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### Why This Parlay?
- Value in Combined Odds: BetMGM offers the best value for this 2-leg parlay (3.35), translating to a 29.8% implied probability.
- Mutual Exclusivity: Both legs depend on Danilovic’s performance (win + low-scoring match), avoiding conflicting outcomes.
- LWOT Alignment: The team’s prediction of a 3-set win for Danilovic supports the under on total games.
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### Key Stats to Watch
- Danilovic’s Grass Record: 12-10 on grass in 2024, including a 3-1 run at the Nottingham Open.
- Zhang’s Age and Form: Last reached a Grand Slam quarterfinal in 2019; has dropped 15 spots in rankings since 2023.
- Head-to-Head: Danilovic leads 3-1 in their career meetings, including a 2023 grass-court win.
Final Note: Avoid parlays involving Zhang due to her declining form and age. Stick with Danilovic’s reliability and the under on total games for the highest edge.
P.S. The initial mention of Coco Gauff vs. Yastremska appears to be a mix-up. The data provided pertains to Danilovic vs. Zhang. Let me know if you’d like analysis for the Gauff match instead! 🎾
Created: June 30, 2025, 1:56 p.m. GMT