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Parlay: St Kilda Saints VS Collingwood Magpies 2025-06-21

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Same Game Parlay Pick: Collingwood Magpies -30.5 & Over 169.5
Odds: 1.87 x 1.87 = ~3.5 (+250)

Why This Works:
1. Collingwood’s Dominance: The Magpies are 11-2 this season and the league leaders. Their -30.5 spread reflects their superiority over a Saints team that’s lost 4 of 5 and ranks 14th.
2. St Kilda’s Defensive Struggles: Jordan Lewis highlighted the Saints’ inability to defend, which should lead to a high-scoring game.
3. Inside 50s Advantage: Collingwood’s offense (2nd in the league in scoring) will exploit St Kilda’s poor defense, likely pushing the total past 169.5.

Key Stats:
- Collingwood’s ATS Performance: 8-4 against the spread in their last 12 games.
- St Kilda’s Defensive Woes: Conceded 100+ points in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Total Context: 169.5 is a high line, but Collingwood’s 104.5 PPG and St Kilda’s 82.5 PPG defense make the over plausible.

Risk Factor: If St Kilda’s offense (48th in scoring) completely collapses, the total could fall short. But their defense is a bigger liability, making this parlay a calculated play.

Verdict: A smart, high-reward bet for Collingwood fans. If the Magpies dominate as expected, this parlay could deliver a ~250% return.

Created: June 21, 2025, 4:22 a.m. GMT