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Parlay: St Louis Blues VS Toronto Maple Leafs 2025-11-18

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues: A Same-Game Parlay for the Ages

Ladies and gentlemen, buckle up for a hockey game that’s equal parts “Here’s Looking at You, Auston” and “Let’s Light the Lamp and Pray for the Best.” The Toronto Maple Leafs, currently resembling a hockey team that’s been through a woodchipper (but with more concussions), host the St. Louis Blues in a matchup that’s less about skill and more about who can trip over their own feet less often. Let’s break this down with the precision of a surgeon… who also happens to be a stand-up comedian.


Odds & Stats: A Tale of Two Teams
The Maple Leafs (-135) are favored despite being a medical marvel of injuries. Their star, Auston Matthews, is out indefinitely after what Craig Berube described as a “concerning update” that sounds like a Netflix thriller titled “Why Won’t My Hamstring Heal?” Toronto’s depth? A Jenga tower held together by duct tape and hope. They’ve got John Tavares, William Nylander, and a guy named Jacob Quillan, who has one NHL appearance under his belt. Let’s just say the Leafs’ roster reads like a “For Dummies” guide to hockey.

The Blues (+114), meanwhile, are the uninvited guests at the party—unlikable but persistent. They’re 24th in goals scored (2.8 per game) and 32nd in goals against (3.8 per game). Their star, Robert Thomas, is a decent playmaker, but their offense is about as exciting as a spreadsheet. Still, their defense isn’t great, which is good news for anyone betting on chaos.

Key Stat: Both teams have combined for over 5.5 goals in 16 of 19 games this season. The over/under is 5.5, with the over priced at 1.77-1.93 (implied probability: 53-56%). That’s not just a number—it’s a mathematical inevitability if these two teams keep playing like they’re in a video game on “Easy” mode.


News & Injuries: A Medical Drama
Toronto’s injury report is a Shakespearean tragedy. Auston Matthews is out, Chris Tanev is out, Anthony Stolarz is out, and even Nicolas Roy is day-to-day. Coach Craig Berube might as well be managing a team of medical students. As one fan aptly put it, “The Leafs aren’t just missing players—they’re missing concepts like ‘team depth.’”

The Blues? They’re only missing Jake Neighbours with a leg injury. That’s it. That’s their entire injury report. If this were a horror movie, the Leafs would be the final act where the survivors get picked off one by one, and the Blues would be the guy in the mask who trips over his own shoelaces in the third act.


The Humor: Because Hockey Needs It
Let’s talk about Toronto’s defense. They’re 31st in goals against (3.8 per game), which is about as effective as a colander in a hurricane. Imagine their defense as a group of toddlers trying to build a wall out of Jell-O. It’s not happening. The Blues’ offense? It’s a toddler with a spoon, gently tapping the wall. But hey, with Toronto’s defense, even a toddler with a spoon could score a hat trick.

As for the over/under? This game is going over 5.5 goals like a toddler on a sugar rush. Both teams shoot like they’re in a video game (Toronto’s 12.8% shooting percentage is third-best in the league), and the Blues’ defense is so porous, they’d let a gust of wind score a goal.


The Parlay: Pick and Choose Your Poison
Best Same-Game Parlay:
1. Toronto Maple Leafs to Win (-135): Despite the injuries, Toronto’s offense is still potent. John Tavares (24 points) and William Nylander (26 points) are scoring machines, and their 3.5 goals per game average suggests they’ll find a way to light the lamp—even if it’s just off a deflection off their own goalie’s mask.
2. Over 5.5 Goals (1.77-1.93): With both teams averaging 6.3 goals combined and Toronto’s leaky defense, this is a lock. The Blues might not score much, but the Leafs will give up enough to make up for it.

Why It Works: The Leafs’ offensive firepower (second in the league in goals) and the Blues’ defensive incompetence create a perfect storm for a high-scoring game. Even without Matthews, Toronto’s shooting percentage (third-best) ensures they’ll get bounces. And let’s be real—the Blues aren’t here to shut anyone out.


Final Prediction: A Bloodbath for the Ages
The Maple Leafs will win 4-3 in a game that feels like a hockey version of “Whack-a-Mole.” Every time they think they’ve stopped a goal, another one pops up. The over/under? A resounding “Over 5.5” as both teams combine for six or seven goals.

Final Verdict: Go with Toronto Maple Leafs to Win + Over 5.5 Goals. It’s a parlay built on chaos, and chaos is what this matchup is all about. Good luck, and remember: if the Leafs lose, at least their injuries make for great stand-up material.

Created: Nov. 18, 2025, 5:52 a.m. GMT