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Parlay: St. Louis Cardinals VS Chicago White Sox 2025-06-18

Best Same-Game Parlay: St. Louis Cardinals to Win + Under 8.5 Runs
Odds: ~3.09 (1.6 x 1.93)

Why This Parlay?
1. Cardinals to Win (-190 ML):
- The Cardinals are a strong favorite with a 3rd-best batting average (.255) and a 4.6 R/G offense.
- Sonny Gray (7-2, 4.00 ERA) starts for St. Louis, while Sean Burke (3-7, 4.14 ERA) struggles for Chicago.
- The White Sox’s .222 team BA (last in MLB) and 27th-ranked offense (3.4 R/G) make them vulnerable.

1. Under 8.5 Runs (-110):
   - The total is set at 8.5, but the expected combined scoring is ~8.0 R/G (4.6 R/G for STL + 3.4 R/G for CHW).
   - Both teams’ pitching staffs are weak in strikeouts (27th and 29th in MLB), but their poor offenses limit explosive scoring.
   - The Under is priced at +187 at LowVig.ag (best line: 1.93), offering value against a low-scoring matchup.

Key Stats to Back the Play:
- Cardinals’ Offense: 3rd in MLB batting average (.255), 10th in runs per game (4.6).
- White Sox’ Offense: Last in MLB batting average (.222), 27th in runs per game (3.4).
- Pitching Matchup: Gray (7-2) vs. Burke (3-7); both teams’ staffs rank 27th/29th in strikeouts per nine (7.3).

Best Odds:
- Cardinals ML: -190 (FanDuel, DraftKings).
- Under 8.5 Runs: +187 (LowVig.ag).

Combined Implied Probability: ~32% (value bet given the teams’ offensive limitations).

Alternative Parlay Option (Riskier but Higher Reward):
Cardinals -1.5 Spread + Over 8.5 Runs (~2.75 odds)
- Cards are a -1.5 favorite (-110), but the Over is a 50/50 proposition.
- Only recommended if you’re confident in high-scoring offense (e.g., Cards score 5+ runs).

Final Verdict: Stick with the Cardinals to Win + Under 8.5 Runs for a balanced, value-driven parlay. The Cardinals’ strong offense vs. the White Sox’s weak one creates a low-scoring, high-probability scenario.

Created: June 18, 2025, 5:44 p.m. GMT