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Parlay: St. Louis Cardinals VS Chicago White Sox 2025-06-19

Best Same Game Parlay: St. Louis Cardinals + Over 9 Runs
Odds: 3.21 (DraftKings)

Why This Parlay?
1. Cardinals to Win (-141)
- The Cardinals are a strong offensive team (4.7 runs/game, 9th in MLB) with a 50% win rate when favored.
- Starter Erick Fedde (3.65 ERA, 51 Ks in 79.2 IP) faces a White Sox team that ranks 28th in runs scored (3.2/game).

1. Over 9 Runs (1.93)
   - The White Sox’s pitching staff allows 5.0 runs/game, and their starter Adrian Houser (2.15 ERA in 5 games) has limited innings (just 15 IP this season).
   - The Cardinals’ offense (4.7 R/G) and White Sox’s porous defense (28th in runs scored) make the over 9 runs a logical pick.

Key Stats to Watch:
- Cardinals’ Offense: Brendan Donovan (.323 BA), Nolan Arenado (63 H, .306 OBP), and Willson Contreras (9 HRs, 45 RBIs) form a dangerous lineup.
- White Sox’ Defense: Miguel Vargas (.242 BA) and Chase Meidroth (.276 BA) lack power, with the team scoring just 3.2 runs/game.

Payout Breakdown:
- Combined Odds: 1.66 (Cardinals ML) × 1.93 (Over) = 3.21 (221% profit on a $100 bet).

Bookmaker to Use: DraftKings
- Offers the best line for the Cardinals (-141) and Over 9 (1.93).

Final Verdict: This parlay balances the Cardinals’ offensive firepower against the White Sox’s defensive struggles. The Cardinals’ 50% win rate as favorites and the over’s 51.3% implied probability make this a high-probability, high-reward play.

Avoid: Parlays involving the White Sox (-141 underdogs) or under 9 runs (implied 48.7% chance). The Cardinals’ dominance and the White Sox’s weakness make this a one-sided matchup.

Created: June 19, 2025, 5:05 p.m. GMT