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Parlay: St. Louis Cardinals VS Cleveland Guardians 2025-06-28

Best Same-Game Parlay for Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals (6/28/2025)
Bookmaker: Caesars (via William Hill US)
Legs:
1. Cleveland Guardians Moneyline (+100 implied) → Price: +100 (1.8 decimal)
2. Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Run Line (+170 implied) → Price: +170 (2.7 decimal)
3. Under 8.5 Total Runs (+85 implied) → Price: +85 (1.83 decimal)

Combined Odds: +790 (1.8 × 2.7 × 1.83 ≈ 8.9 → +790)

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Why This Parlay Works
1. Cleveland’s Edge at Home: The Guardians are 18-12 in games they’re favored, and they’re hosting a Cardinals team that’s 14-19 on the road this season.
2. Low-Scoring Matchup:
- Cleveland’s Pitching: Luis Ortiz (4-8, 4.55 ERA) has struggled, but the Guardians’ offense is 22nd in HRs (79), limiting power.
- St. Louis’ Hitting: The Cardinals are 25th in MLB in HRs (84) and have been shut out in their last two games.
- Under 8.5 Total: The Under is 14-3 in Ortiz’s last 17 starts and 13-4 in Gray’s last 17 starts.
3. Run Line Value: Cleveland -1.5 is a tight spread, but the Guardians’ +1.5 run differential in Gray’s starts (Sonny Gray, 7-2, 3.20 ERA) gives them a slight edge.

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Key Contradictions to Watch
- Cleveland’s HR Struggles: Their 22nd-ranked HR total could limit their ability to cover the -1.5 run line.
- Cardinals’ Underdog Magic: St. Louis has won 24 of 46 games as underdogs this season, including 6 of 10 on the road.

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Final Verdict
This 3-leg parlay hinges on a low-scoring game where Cleveland’s offense avoids a HR drought and their pitching holds off a Cardinals rally. While risky, the +790 payout rewards the overlap in Cleveland’s home dominance and both teams’ lack of power. For a safer 2-leg play: Cleveland Moneyline (+100) + Under 8.5 (+85) → +230.

Bet Responsibly.

Created: June 28, 2025, 5:50 p.m. GMT