Parlay: Tampa Bay Rays VS Baltimore Orioles 2025-06-28

Same Game Parlay: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline + Under 9.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds:
- Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline: -125
- Under 9.5 Runs: +94 (1.94)

Why This Works:
1. Rays’ Momentum & Orioles’ Struggles: Tampa Bay is 6-1 in their last 7 games (sweeping the Royals), while Baltimore is on a 4-game losing streak with key injuries (Adley Rutschman, Ryan Mountcastle).
2. Pitching Matchup: The Rays’ 3.50 ERA (8th in MLB) vs. the Orioles’ 4.89 ERA (27th). Tampa’s starters (e.g., Shane McClanahan) have held opponents to a .232 average this season.
3. Weather Suppression: Wind blowing in at Oriole Park could limit power, supporting the Under 9.5 Runs (4/5 games between these teams have gone Under recently).
4. Moneyline Value: Rays are a slight favorite (-125) despite being underdogs in 50% of their games, leveraging their hot streak and Baltimore’s poor performance as favorites (45.5% win rate).

Combined Implied Odds: ~3.84 (284% return on a $100 bet).

Key Stat: The UNDER has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, and Tampa’s pitching staff has held opponents to a .232 batting average this season.

Avoid Over/Under 9.5 Runs at +100 (DraftKings) or +105 (Caesars) – the value is in the tighter Under line at FanDuel.

Final Note: This parlay capitalizes on Tampa’s red-hot play, Baltimore’s offensive woes, and weather-driven scoring suppression.

Created: June 28, 2025, 5:44 p.m. GMT