Parlay: Texas Rangers VS Los Angeles Angels 2025-07-09
Same-Game Parlay Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 & Over 9.0 Runs
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Combined Odds: +352 (4.52 decimal)
Why This Parlay?
1. Rangers -1.5 (-150)
- The Rangers are a strong favorite (65.9% win rate as favorites) with a top-tier pitching staff (3.24 ERA).
- Nathan Eovaldi (1.75 ERA, 9.3 K/9) is a reliable starter, and the Rangers’ offense (2nd in MLB in runs per game) should handle José Soriano (3.72 ERA).
- Implied probability: 55.6% (150/(150+100)).
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- Over 9.0 Runs (-110)
- The previous game between these teams went 11 runs (6-5), and both teams have high ERAs (Angels: 4.47, Rangers: 3.24).
- Eovaldi vs. Soriano is a mismatch: Eovaldi’s 1.75 ERA vs. Soriano’s 3.72 ERA. The Angels’ offense (4th in MLB in runs) should capitalize on Soriano’s struggles.
- Implied probability: 51.3% (100/(100+110)).
Math Check
- Combined Implied Probability: 55.6% * 51.3% = 28.5%
- True Value? The Rangers’ 65.9% favorite win rate and the Over’s 51.3% implied probability suggest this parlay is undervalued.
Key Stats to Watch
- Rangers’ Offense: Marcus Semien (1.021 OPS) and Wyatt Langford (1.000 OPS) are red-hot.
- Angels’ Struggles: 25th in MLB in runs scored (3.8/game) and 24th in batting average (.238).
- Eovaldi’s Dominance: 1.75 ERA in 15 starts, 9.3 K/9.
Final Verdict: This parlay targets a Rangers win by 2+ runs and a high-scoring game. The Rangers’ pitching and the Angels’ offensive struggles make this a smart, high-reward play. Bet it at LowVig.ag for +352 odds.
Note: Odds are subject to change. Confirm at LowVig.ag before placing.
Created: July 9, 2025, 12:58 a.m. GMT