Parlay: Texas Rangers VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-06-20
Best Same-Game Parlay: Texas Rangers -1.5 Run Line & Under 7.5 Total Runs
Odds: +247 (approx. 2.47 decimal)
Why This Works:
1. Texas Rangers -1.5 Run Line (-110 to -115):
- Jacob deGrom (3.20 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) faces a Pirates offense that ranks last in MLB in runs (29) and home runs (10).
- Texas has the best WHIP (1.02) in baseball and is 25-14 as favorites.
- Rangers’ offense (13 HRs from Wyatt Langford, .292 BA from Josh Smith) should capitalize on weak Pirates pitching.
- Under 7.5 Total Runs (-110 to -120):
- Pirates’ pitching staff has the lowest ERA (4.75) in MLB, but their hitting struggles (fewest HRs, 11th-worst batting average) limit scoring.
- DeGrom’s career ERA in 2025 is 2.89, and he’s held opponents to 2+ runs in 14 of 18 starts.
- Rangers’ offense is disciplined (11th in MLB in walks) but not explosive, making a low-scoring game likely.
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Key Stat Edge:
- Pirates have scored 2.1 runs per game this season, the lowest in MLB.
- Rangers’ bullpen has a 2.75 ERA in high-leverage situations, limiting late-game scoring.
Avoid Overcomplicating:
- While player props (e.g., Langford HR) are tempting, the Pirates’ defense and deGrom’s dominance make a two-leg parlay (run line + under) the safest high-odds play.
Where to Bet:
- DraftKings offers the best line for the Under 7.5 (-115) and Rangers -1.5 (-110).
- BetOnline.ag has the tightest spread line for the Rangers (-1.5 at -110).
Final Verdict:
This parlay balances value and probability. The Rangers’ elite pitching and the Pirates’ offensive futility make this the smartest same-game parlay for Friday’s matchup.
Created: June 20, 2025, 2:22 p.m. GMT