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Parlay: Toronto Blue Jays VS Chicago White Sox 2025-07-08

Same-Game Parlay: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: July 8, 2025 | Time: 7:40 PM ET | Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field

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Best Same-Game Parlay
Leg 1: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-179)
Leg 2: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-125)

Bookmaker: BetMGM
Combined Implied Probability: ~35.1%
Total Payout: +285 (3.85 decimal odds)

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Why This Parlay Works
1. Blue Jays Moneyline (-179):
- Toronto is a 10-game favorite in this matchup, with a 61.1% win rate when favored.
- Their offense ranks 2nd in MLB in batting average, OPS, and wRC+ since May 28.
- Jose Berrios (13-5, 3.22 ERA) starts for Toronto, holding opponents to ≤3 runs in 13 of 18 starts.

1. Over 8.5 Total Runs (-125):
   - The Blue Jays score 4.6 R/G, while the White Sox allow 5.1 R/G (28th in MLB).
   - Berrios has a 4.05 ERA vs. LHP (White Sox lineup leans lefty-heavy).
   - The Over is 54.1% implied probability at BetMGM, but the actual probability is likely higher given Toronto’s firepower.

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Key Stats & Context
- Blue Jays’ Edge:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.320/.430/.650) and George Springer (.315/.410/.585) form a lethal 1-2 punch.
- Berrios vs. Sean Burke (3.95 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) creates a mismatch.

• White Sox’ Weakness:
  - Score 3.5 R/G (28th) and rank 25th in wRC+.
  - Burke struggles against MLB’s 2nd-best lineup (Toronto’s .312 AVG).

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Avoid These Traps
- Under 0.5 Hits for Josh Rojas: Unavailable in provided data.
- White Sox Moneyline (+148): Chicago has a 33% win rate as underdogs (terrible value).

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Final Verdict
This parlay combines Toronto’s elite offense and Berrios’ reliability with the White Sox’s putrid pitching. The Over 8.5 total is a smart counterintuitive play given the Blue Jays’ recent dominance (8-game win streak vs. Chicago).

Bet: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline + Over 8.5 Total Runs at BetMGM for +285.

“Berrios and the Jays’ bats are a one-two punch that’ll flatten Burke and the White Sox. This parlay isn’t just safe—it’s a money print.” — The Handicapper’s Ledger 🎯

Created: July 8, 2025, 5:24 p.m. GMT