Parlay: Toronto Blue Jays VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-06-13

What a matchup! The Philadelphia Phillies, led by Ranger Suarez, are looking to capitalize on their strong home record against the Toronto Blue Jays, who will counter with Kevin Gausman. After analyzing the data, I've got a same-game parlay bet that I think has a great chance of paying off.

Same Game Parlay Bet:

Philadelphia Phillies to win: -126 (implied probability: 55.6%)
2. Over 8.0 runs: -105 to -110 (implied probability: 51.2% to 52.4%)

Why this parlay?

The Phillies have a strong record when favored, winning 61.8% of games, and they're facing a Blue Jays team that has a 54.8% winning percentage as underdogs.
Suarez has been dominant on the mound, with a 2.70 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 43 1/3 innings pitched. He's likely to keep the Blue Jays' offense in check.
The Blue Jays' Gausman has a 3.87 ERA, which is respectable but not as strong as Suarez's. The Phillies' offense, which ranks 9th in baseball in runs per game (4.6), should be able to capitalize on Gausman's mistakes.
* The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams having strong offenses. The Phillies have the No. 9 offense in baseball, and the Blue Jays have a .256 batting average, ranking fifth in MLB.

Payout:

The payout for this parlay will vary depending on the sportsbook, but using the midpoints of the odds, we can estimate:

-126 (Phillies to win) x -107.5 (Over 8.0 runs) = 2.73 (implied probability: 36.6%)
* A $100 bet would pay out approximately $273

Keep in mind that same-game parlays are generally riskier than individual bets, but the potential payout makes it an attractive option. As always, be responsible and bet within your means.

Will you be taking this parlay or have another strategy in mind?

Created: June 13, 2025, 1:50 p.m. GMT