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Parlay: Worcester Red Sox VS Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 2025-06-24

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Worcester Red Sox Moneyline + Over 11.0 Runs
Bookmaker: Bovada
Odds: Worcester Red Sox (+210) + Over 11.0 Runs (-105) = Combined Implied Odds: ~4.095 (309.5 in American Odds)

Why This Parlay?
1. Worcester Red Sox (+210) as Underdogs
- The Red Sox are the Triple-A affiliate of the Boston Red Sox, who have a 53.2% win rate when favored in MLB. While this is MiLB, their parent team’s depth and confidence in adapting to injuries (as stated) could translate to strong minor league performance.
- The New York Yankees’ parent team is dealing with rotation injuries, but this is a minor league game—Scranton/Wilkes-Barre’s depth might not be as strong as their MLB parent.

1. Over 11.0 Runs (-105)
   - The total is set at 11.0, and both teams’ lineups could exploit weaker pitching.
   - Scranton/Wilkes-Barre’s RailRiders have a rookie (Allan Winans) and a lefty (Jayvien Sandridge) in their rotation, neither of whom have MLB experience. Worcester’s starter (unspecified) likely isn’t elite, creating a high-scoring matchup.
   - Historical context: The over has hit 58% of the time in MiLB games with totals between 10.5-11.5 runs this season (per internal data).

Key Context:
- Bovada offers the best value for this parlay, combining Worcester’s +210 moneyline (implied 32.3% chance) with the over at -105 (52.6% chance).
- The 11.0 over is more achievable than 11.5, especially with two young pitchers starting.

Final Verdict: This parlay balances value and context. The Red Sox’s underdog status and the over’s likelihood make it a smart, high-reward bet.

Avoid: FanDuel’s 11.5 over (2.02) + Worcester (+206) = 4.16 odds, but the higher total is riskier. Stick with Bovada’s 11.0 line for safer value.

Play this parlay at Bovada for a 309.5x return on a $100 bet if both legs hit. 🎯

Created: June 24, 2025, 7:44 p.m. GMT