Prediction: Abbotsford Canucks VS Charlotte Checkers 2025-06-15
Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup on our hands here - the Abbotsford Canucks are set to face off against the Charlotte Checkers in Game 2 of the AHL Finals! The Checkers are looking to bounce back from a thrilling double-overtime loss in Game 1, where they left it all on the ice (and then some, with Kaapo Kähkönen making 26 saves).
First things first, let's talk about the odds. According to BetRivers, the Checkers are favored to win at 1.49, while the Canucks are sitting at 2.3. Bovada's got similar numbers, with the Checkers at 1.5 and the Canucks at 2.5. I'd say the market is pretty confident in the Checkers' chances.
Now, let's look at the key stats: the Checkers have won eight straight games, including against some tough opponents like the Providence Bruins, Hershey Bears, and Laval Rocket. They're on a roll, folks! Meanwhile, the Canucks are riding the momentum of a thrilling Game 1 win, where Artūrs Šilovs made an incredible 51 saves.
As for injuries, I couldn't find any significant updates that would impact the game's outcome. Both teams seem to be at full strength.
Now, let's crunch some numbers. Based on the odds provided, here are the expected values for each possible bet:
BetRivers:
- Abbotsford Canucks (2.3): 1 / 2.3 = 43.48% implied win probability. If I estimate the Canucks' actual win probability at around 35-40%, that's a decent value.
* Charlotte Checkers (1.49): 1 / 1.49 = 67.11% implied win probability. If I estimate the Checkers' actual win probability at around 55-60%, that's a bit less enticing.
Bovada:
- Abbotsford Canucks (2.5): 1 / 2.5 = 40% implied win probability. Similar to BetRivers, if I estimate the Canucks' actual win probability at around 35-40%, that's a decent value.
* Charlotte Checkers (1.5): 1 / 1.5 = 66.67% implied win probability. Again, if I estimate the Checkers' actual win probability at around 55-60%, that's not as appealing.
Best Bet:
Based on the odds and my estimates, I'd say the Abbotsford Canucks at 2.3 (BetRivers) or 2.5 (Bovada) have some value. With an implied win probability of around 43-40%, I think the Canucks have a decent chance of pulling off the upset.
Data-Driven Best Bet: Abbotsford Canucks (+130 or 2.3) at BetRivers. This one's got an Odds Expected Value of around 0.65 (implied probability of 43.48% * decimal odds of 2.3).
Keep in mind that these are just numbers, and hockey is inherently unpredictable. That being said, I think the Canucks have a good chance of making it a 1-1 series tie.
Go Canucks!
Created: June 15, 2025, 9:41 p.m. GMT