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Prediction: Adam Fugitt VS Islam Dulatov 2025-07-19

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UFC 318: Adam Fugitt vs. Islam Daulatov – A Fashionably Late Exit?

Let’s dissect this matchup with the precision of a tailor stitching a suit for a MMA fighter-actor (yes, we’re looking at you, Islam Daulatov). The odds are as clear as a runway model’s skincare routine: Daulatov is the 89%-91% favorite, while Fugitt clings to a 14%-18% chance. That’s the statistical equivalent of betting your last dollar that a toaster won’t spontaneously start doing yoga.

Parsing the Odds: Why Daulatov’s Price is Right (Literally)
Daulatov’s decimal odds of ~1.14-1.17 imply bookmakers expect him to win 89-91% of the time. For context, that’s the confidence level of a circus acrobat catching a falling elephant in a net. Meanwhile, Fugitt’s +540 to +600 odds (American: +540 to +600) mean his implied probability hovers around 14-17%. In MMA terms, that’s the likelihood of a retired fighter suddenly remembering how to dodge a haymaker after a year of watching paint dry.

Digesting the News: Fashion Icon vs. “Has-Been”
Islam Daulatov isn’t just a BMF title contender—he’s a bona fide BMF (Bad Model Fellow). With 13 wins, one loss, and a résumé that includes British Vogue and German fashion shows, he’s the guy who’d beat you up and then model the fight in a Calvin Klein ad. His discipline? Spotless. His focus?Sharper than a judge’s eye at a modeling competition.

Adam Fugitt, meanwhile, is fighting the clock—literally. The 32-year-old hasn’t stepped into the octagon in 14 months, a drought longer than a MMA fighter’s patience for pre-fight media obligations. He’s coming off a win, sure, but his last fight was longer ago than the last time he probably did anything physically demanding. Fugitt’s quote about the “present moment” is poetic, but let’s be real: If you haven’t been in a cage since 2023, your “present moment” probably includes a lot of Netflix and wondering why your abs vanished.

Humorous Spin: Runway vs. Ruin
Daulatov is the human equivalent of a luxury brand: consistent, stylish, and unlikely to let you down. He’s fought 14 times in his career, while Fugitt’s been on a “hiatus” longer than a UFC fighter’s between-fight recovery period. If Fugitt’s last action was 2023, that’s like trying to fight in 2025 while still using a flip phone and thinking “emoji” is a type of pasta.

And let’s not forget Daulatov’s resume: He’s a refugee who turned trauma into triumph, a model who knows how to pose and punch, and now a fighter who’s just one win away from becoming the BMF of “I’m Still Here, Bro.” Fugitt? He’s the guy who’s fighting to prove he hasn’t forgotten how to throw a jab—while Daulatov is out here throwing magazine covers.

Prediction: The Catwalk Closes on Fugitt
Putting it all together: Daulatov’s activity, skill, and fashion-industry discipline (yes, that’s a thing) make him a near-lock. Fugitt’s inactivity is a death knell in a sport where rust equals disaster. The odds aren’t just favoring Daulatov—they’re mocking Fugitt’s chances with the subtlety of a flash knockdown.

Final Verdict: Islam Daulatov wins via decision, likely dominating the fight like a supermodel dominating a runway. Fugitt’s best look? Probably the “I Tried My Best” emoji. Bet on Daulatov unless you enjoy the drama of a comeback that’s more “last minute” than “last stand.”

And to all the fashion models reading this: Please, for the love of spandex, don’t challenge Daulatov to an MMA fight.

Created: July 19, 2025, 12:18 p.m. GMT

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