Prediction: Ajla Tomljanovic VS Jasmine Paolini 2025-05-28
The French Open is heating up, and we've got a sizzler of a matchup between Ajla Tomljanovic and Jasmine Paolini. Tomljanovic, the 32-year-old Aussie, is looking to build on her dominant 6-1, 6-3 win over Maya Joint, where she got "angry" and "determined" after a pep talk from her coach. Meanwhile, Paolini, the fourth seed, is the heavy favorite, with odds ranging from 1.09 to 1.12 across various bookmakers.
Now, let's get to the stats and odds. Tomljanovic is a significant underdog, with prices ranging from 6.2 to 7.5. The spread is around 6.0 to 6.5 games, with Paolini favored to cover. The over/under is set at 18.5 to 19.5 games.
Given Tomljanovic's recent form and Paolini's strong seeding, it's hard to see the Aussie pulling off an upset. However, Tomljanovic's coach seems to have found the right buttons to push, and she might just give Paolini a run for her money.
My best bet for this matchup is: Under 19.0 games at 1.8 (BetUS). While Tomljanovic might put up a fight, Paolini's class and experience should shine through, and I expect a relatively straightforward win for the fourth seed. The under 19.0 games bet offers a decent price and a reasonable chance of success, considering Paolini's dominance and Tomljanovic's potential to push her to a decent scoreline.
Created: May 27, 2025, 12:46 p.m. GMT