Prediction: Amanda Anisimova VS Naomi Osaka 2025-09-04
Amanda Anisimova vs. Naomi Osaka: A US Open Semifinal for the Ages
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a clash of titans, a tennis tango, and a showdown that would make even the most jaded sports commentator reach for their popcorn. The 2025 US Open semifinals pit Amanda Anisimova, the American firecracker, against Naomi Osaka, the Japanese Grand Slam veteran, in a match that’s equal parts chess match and circus act. Let’s break it down with the precision of a line judge and the humor of a stadium DJ.
Parsing the Odds: Who’s the Bookies’ Favorite?
The odds tell a tale of two titans. Naomi Osaka is the clear favorite, with decimal odds hovering around 1.83 (implied probability: ~54.6%) across most books. Anisimova checks in at ~1.95 (implied: ~51.3%), a slight underdog but not by much. For context, if this were a pizza delivery race, Osaka would be the guy with the scooter and a GPS, while Anisimova is the one sprinting in flip-flops but somehow still arriving first.
Key stats? Osaka’s first-serve percentage at the US Open is a scorching 75%, and she’s converting second-serve points at 44%—like a magician who never misses a trick. Anisimova, meanwhile, thrived against Iga Świątek by winning 67% of return points on Swiatek’s second serve. She’s also broken top players four times in a single match, which is tennis code for “bring your A-game or get A-ed up.”
Digesting the News: Injuries, Head-to-Head, and Grandma Stories
Let’s start with Osaka. The 2018 and 2020 champion isn’t just a Grand Slam relic; she’s a survivor. Her 4-0 record in winning a Major after passing the fourth round is the tennis equivalent of a “most improved” employee who quietly crushes KPIs. Recent results? She’s beaten the likes of Muchova in a nail-biting 7-6 tiebreak, proving she’s still got the nerves of a cat walking a tightrope. Her coach’s quote—“most impressive victory”—reads like a thesaurus factory exploded, but we get it: Osaka’s back.
Anisimova, on the other hand, is the “new money” of tennis. She’s riding a 2-0 head-to-head edge over Osaka, including a 2022 French Open romp that had Osaka looking more confused than a tennis ball in a kaleidoscope. The American has also lost just one set at the US Open, toppling Swiatek like a domino in a game of strategic lawn tennis. Her season? A “great first half” according to her camp, which is sports speak for “we’re not paying for a supercar yet, but we’re getting there.”
The Humor: Tennis, Tomatoes, and Time Travel
Imagine this match as a cooking show. Osaka is the Michelin-starred chef with a five-star Yelp rating, while Anisimova is the sous-chef who once set the oven on fire but now makes a mean béarnaise sauce. Osaka’s serve? A precision-guided missile that’d make Tom Brady jealous. Anisimova’s return game? A tomato-tossing contest at a San Marzano festival—messy, but someone’s getting splattered.
And let’s not forget Osaka’s Grand Slam pedigree. She’s the tennis version of your Aunt Karen who won “Jeopardy” in 1997 and still wears her champion T-shirt to family reunions. Anisimova? She’s the relative who’s this close to beating her in Scrabble but keeps getting docked for using “texting” as a verb.
Prediction: Who’s Taking Home the Glitter?
Here’s the verdict: Naomi Osaka wins this one, but not without a fight. Her experience in closing out majors—4-0 post-fourth round—is a psychological edge that Anisimova hasn’t yet matched. Osaka’s first-serve dominance (75%) and clutch gene in tiebreaks give her the tools to weather Anisimova’s fire.
But hold your horses! Anisimova’s 67% return success against Swiatek’s second serve? That’s the kind of number that could make a veteran break out in hives. If Osaka double-faults more than a Starbucks barista on a caffeine shortage, Anisimova’s got the net-cord charm of a late-night infomercial host to steal the set.
Final Score Prediction: Osaka in three sets, 6-4, 4-6, 6-3.
So, bet on Osaka, but keep an eye on Anisimova’s serve-and-volley antics—this could go down as the “I almost won a Grand Slam” story of 2026. And for 9.99€/mes, you can watch it all on Movistar Plus+. Because nothing says “investment” like paying for tennis and a side of regret over not buying Bitcoin in 2015.
Game, set, and match to the drama. 🎾
Created: Sept. 4, 2025, 9:36 a.m. GMT