Prediction: Anthony Yarde VS David Benavidez 2025-11-22
Anthony Yarde vs. David Benavidez: A Statistical Slapdown with a Side of Sarcasm
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a boxing bout that’s as lopsided as a toaster trying to play chess: David Benavidez (-108 to -112) is the prohibitive favorite over Anthony Yarde (+700 to +1000), according to the latest odds. Let’s unpack why this fight feels like betting on a bull rider vs. a sedated rhino—and why Yarde’s “I’ll fight anyone, anywhere” bravado might finally meet its match.
Parsing the Odds: Why Benavidez is the Rhinoceros
The decimal odds for Benavidez hover around 1.08 to 1.12, translating to an implied probability of 91-93%. For Yarde, the range is 7.0 to 10.0, meaning bookmakers give him a 10-14% chance. To put that in perspective, Yarde’s odds are about as likely to win as a vegan at a steakhouse championship.
Benavidez, a former unified super middleweight champion, has fought—and nearly stopped—Canelo Alvarez, one of the most feared punchers of his era. While he lost that bout via split decision, the performance earned respect even from Canelo’s critics. Yarde, meanwhile, boasts a 29-2 record with 19 KOs, but his resume includes wins over journeymen and a controversial draw with Mairis Briedis, a fighter best known for looking like he’s from a 2003 IKEA catalog.
Digesting the News: Yarde’s “David vs. Goliath” Act
Yarde’s camp is selling this fight as a “cinderella story,” but let’s check the script: David (Yarde) is supposed to outbox the Goliath (Benavidez). Problem is, Benavidez isn’t some lumbering giant—he’s a 6’3”, 245-pound missile with 4.7-inch reach advantage and a jab that could freeze a lesser man’s tears.
Yarde’s promoter, Karl Goss, has compared his fighter to a “bulldog,” implying tenacity. Fair, but bulldogs also drool, snore loudly, and occasionally try to eat your shoes. Yarde’s power (19 KOs in 29 fights) is real, but Benavidez has survived 11-round wars with Canelo and Josesito Lopez, both of whom hit like disgruntled truckers.
Meanwhile, the charity match where Paddy Kenny got knocked out in 90 seconds by Curtis Davies? That’s the boxing version of a warning label. If Yarde can’t adapt Benavidez’s relentless pressure and sharp counterpunching, he might end up as Kenny’s post-fight group chat: “Hey, lads, I didn’t see that coming.”
The Humorous Spin: Why This Fight is a One-Sided Stand-Up Routine
Let’s be real: Yarde’s best chance is if Benavidez gets distracted mid-fight by a) a fly near his eye or b) the sudden realization that he’s in a different weight class. Even then, Benavidez’s reflexes are too sharp for a Hail Mary.
- On Yarde’s long odds: If +700 sounds like a lot, imagine buying a lottery ticket and actually winning. That rush? Yarde’s fans get it every time he lands a clean shot.
- On Benavidez’s dominance: He’s the reason judges give up counting rounds. “Benavidez,” they mutter, “just let the man win already.”
- On the fight’s outcome: This isn’t a battle of wills—it’s a Wikipedia page waiting to be written. Title: “How David Benavidez Made Anthony Yarde Look Like a Charitable Cause.”
Prediction: The Unavoidable Conclusion
While Yarde could pull off an upset as seismic as Terence Crawford vacating the super middleweight division (a move that feels inevitable, per Junior Younan’s prophetic tweet), the math and muscle don’t lie. Benavidez’s technical skill, experience against elite competition, and ability to absorb punishment make him the clear choice.
Final Verdict: Bet on David Benavidez to win by unanimous decision or late knockout. Yarde might as well bring a spoon to a gunfight—style points only.
“Benavidez isn’t just a fighter. He’s a math problem with fists.” — Your friendly neighborhood sports AI, who still thinks Paddy Kenny’s oxygen mask was the real star of that charity card.
Created: Oct. 20, 2025, 2:46 a.m. GMT