Prediction: AS Monaco VS Saski Baskonia 2025-12-17
Kosher Baskonia vs. AS Monaco: A EuroLeague Showdown of Survival and Splendor
The Buesa Arena in Vitoria-Gasteiz will host a clash of contrasts when Saski Baskonia (17th in EuroLeague) welcomes AS Monaco (5th) on December 17. On paper, this is a mismatch. In reality? It’s a circus of chaos, with Baskonia juggling four games in seven days and Monaco bringing a star-studded squad that could make a magician weep. Let’s break it down.
Parsing the Odds: Monaco’s Implied Probability is a Tax Audit
The odds tell a story of Monaco as a near-lock. At decimal odds of 1.48-1.50 (implying a 67-68% chance to win) and a spread of -4.5 points, Monaco is the financial advisor telling you to invest in “safe” bonds—until they vanish with your life savings. Baskonia’s +2.55-2.70 odds (implied 38-37%) suggest they’re the bond itself: theoretically stable, but likely to crumble under pressure. The total points line of 178.5 is a middle finger to the concept of defense; this game will be a track meet unless someone invents a time machine to bring back the 1990s NBA.
Digesting the News: Injuries, Fatigue, and a Side of Absurdity
AS Monaco is a luxury car dealership of basketball talent. Despite missing Corey Joseph and a possibly gimpy Nemanja Nedović, they’ve added Nikola Mirotić, whose combination of skill and elegance makes him the Cristiano Ronaldo of post players. Their offense is a 125-point fireworks show (see: their 125-who-care victory over Paris), and their turnover-to-assist ratio is better than your mom’s recipe for paella (which, let’s be honest, is all thumbs). Mike James and Alpha Diallo are the engine, but the real star? Their bench depth. They’ve got more All-Stars than a Hollywood premiere.
Baskonia, meanwhile, is the indie film trying to compete with Marvel. They’re missing Tadas Sedekerskis (out) and Hamidou Diallo (injured), but Gytis Radzevicius and rookie Eugene Omoruyi return. Paolo Galbiati’s squad just traveled 4,000 kilometers from Las Palmas—where their previous game was canceled due to a “weather alert” (read: a cloud looked suspicious). Now they face Monaco, Barcelona, Unicaja, and Valencia in seven days. Their schedule is a Sisyphean marathon, and their Copa del Rey hopes hinge on this game like a gambler clutching a crumpled $20 bill.
Humorous Spin: The Absurdity of It All
Let’s be real: Baskonia’s travel schedule makes the Camel Trek look like a stroll in the park. They flew from Las Palmas to Vitoria, a journey that probably included a stop at a tapas bar where they asked, “Wait, is this a game or a food coma?” Monaco, meanwhile, is the basketball equivalent of a James Bond villain, rolling into town with a roster so deep it could drown a small village.
Monaco’s offense? It’s like a Tesla factory—efficient, high-octane, and likely to leave Baskonia’s defense feeling like a Model 3 on a 15-minute charge. And Baskonia’s defense? Porous enough that if you tossed a loaf of baguette at it, half would go missing.
As for the spread (-4.5), Monaco’s expected margin of victory is about the same as the difference between a professional basketball game and my attempt to parallel park.
Prediction: Monaco Wins, Baskonia Wastes Another Night
Putting it all together: Monaco’s star power, offensive efficiency, and relative health make them the clear favorite. Baskonia’s injuries, grueling schedule, and historical futility against Monaco (0-7 in their last seven meetings) paint a bleak picture. Even with Omoruyi’s debut, they’re a team playing with one hand tied behind their back while juggling espresso cups to stay awake.
Final Score Prediction: AS Monaco 92, Baskonia 83.
But hey, if Baskonia pulls off the upset, bookmakers will probably cry into their spreadsheets. And if they somehow cover the 4.5-point spread? Consider it a statistical miracle—and maybe start a GoFundMe for the Red Sea.
Bet on Monaco unless you enjoy watching hope die slowly, one missed three-pointer at a time. 🏀✨
Created: Dec. 16, 2025, 7:27 p.m. GMT