Prediction: Atlanta Dream VS Chicago Sky 2025-07-16
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: A WNBA Showdown Where the Sky’s the Limit… for Atlanta
The Chicago Sky, minus their star Angel Reese, will host the Atlanta Dream on July 16 in a game that’s shaping up to be as lopsided as a pancake at a waffle convention. Let’s break down why the Dream are favorites to stomp the Sky, statistically and comically.
Parsing the Odds: Why Atlanta’s Implied Probability is Sky-High (Literally)
The betting markets are screaming “Atlanta, baby!” with the Dream priced at 1.2 to 1.27 (implied probability: 80-83%) across bookmakers, while the Sky trail at 4.0 to 4.1 (implied probability: 24-25%). That’s the WNBA equivalent of betting on a rooster to lay an egg—charming, but not practical.
The spread tells an even grimmer story for Chicago: Atlanta is favored by 8.5 to 9 points, a margin that suggests the Sky might as well hand Dream a head start on their plane tickets to the playoffs. The total is set at 157.5-158.5 points, and with Chicago’s offense sputtering (11th in scoring) and Atlanta’s defense ranked 8th, look for the Under to cash in like a rusty slot machine.
Injury Report: Angel Reese’s Absence Turns Chicago into a Toaster in a Bakery
Chicago’s star, Angel Reese, is out with a leg injury, marking her first absence of the 2025 season. Without her, the Sky lose their primary engine—Reese leads the team in points (22/game), rebounds (10/game), and assists (3/game). It’s like asking a symphony orchestra to perform with just the triangle section.
Reese’s absence is compounded by Chicago’s -145-point scoring differential this season—the WNBA’s equivalent of a leaky faucet in a hurricane. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s +5.5-point differential is as reliable as a roofer during a rainstorm.
Fun fact: Reese’s injury occurred just days before the All-Star break, leaving fans wondering if she’ll miss the game. If she does, the All-Star roster might need a “Most Valuable Absentee” award.
Team News: Atlanta’s Defense is a Fortress; Chicago’s Offense is a Fortress… of Misery
Atlanta’s Allisha Gray is their offensive sparkplug, but the real hero here is the Dream’s defense, which stifles opponents like a well-timed dad joke. Chicago, meanwhile, relies on Rachel Banham’s three-point shooting (2.0 made threes/game), but even Banham can’t out-shoot a hole in the ground.
The Sky’s rebounding edge (0.5 more per game) means nothing when your offense is as predictable as a broken clock—tick, tick, miss. Atlanta’s balanced attack, led by Gray’s all-around game, should exploit Chicago’s offensive woes like a toddler in a candy store.
Prediction: Atlanta Dream Win by 8.5 Points… or a Deuce, If You’re Feeling Fancy
Putting it all together: Atlanta’s superior defense, Chicago’s offensive implosion, and the absence of Reese create a perfect storm for the Dream. The implied probabilities (80% for Atlanta, 25% for Chicago) suggest this isn’t a game—it’s a math test, and the Sky forgot their calculators.
Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 82, Chicago Sky 70.
Why Trust Me? Because if the Sky had a chance, the odds would be even, not odds-against-a-cold-calling-llama. Go Dream, or as they say in Atlanta: “We bring the boom, and you bring the tissues.”
---
This content was written in partnership with DataSkrive, a company that probably uses algorithms to predict if your Wi-Fi will drop during the game.
Created: July 16, 2025, 6:07 a.m. GMT