Prediction: Atlanta Hawks VS Washington Wizards 2025-11-25

Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards: A Tale of Two Teams (and Why the Hawks Are the Obvious Choice)

The Atlanta Hawks, currently riding a 7-2 surge in their last nine games, are about to face the Washington Wizards—a team so winless, they’ve turned their 14-game losing streak into a holiday tradition. With Trae Young sidelined since October (yes, October—he’s been on a vacation that’s starting to feel permanent), the Hawks have leaned on Jalen Johnson, who’s averaging a near-triple-double while somehow avoiding turnovers like they’re hot coals at a summer barbecue. Meanwhile, the Wizards, who’ve lost 14 straight and are two games away from tying their own franchise record for futility, are hoping Alex Sarr’s 18.1 PPG can pierce Atlanta’s impenetrable… wait, no, actually, their defense is as porous as a sieve filled with Swiss cheese. Let’s break this down.

Parsing the Odds: Why the Hawks Are the Statistical Certainty
The Hawks are favored by -10.5 points, with implied win probabilities hovering around 52-55% (depending on the bookmaker’s decimal odds). That’s not just confidence—it’s math. Atlanta leads the NBA in assists (30.4 per game) and has Jalen Johnson, who’s averaging 23.1 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 7.9 assists over his last five games while committing zero turnovers in his most recent outing. Meanwhile, Washington allows a league-worst 129.1 PPG and commits 17 turnovers per game—enough to fill a U-Haul and still have room for their 14-game losing streak.

The total is set at 236.5, with SportsLine’s model projecting 238 combined points. The Over has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games and 10 of Washington’s 16 this season. If you’re betting on the Over, you’re basically investing in a franchise that’s specializing in defensive incompetence.

Injury Report: Trae’s Absence Is a Non-Event
Trae Young’s MCL injury has kept him sidelined since October 29, but the Hawks haven’t missed a beat. Without their star point guard, Atlanta’s “new normal” is a balanced attack led by Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker (19.3 PPG), and a healthy Kristaps Porzingis (18.4 PPG). Coach Quin Snyder deserves a raise for turning a potential crisis into a “Jalen Johnson Show” reboot.

The Wizards? They’re missing Tre Johnson (hip), with Marvin Bagley III and Kyshawn George questionable. CJ McCollum, their third-leading scorer, is averaging 16.5 PPG but faces a Hawks defense that’s been so stingy lately, they’ve probably considered charging admission for how few points they let in.

The Wizards’ Silver Lining? They’re… Developing Identity?
Coach Brian Keefe insists the Wizards are “showing signs of growth” and “developing a playing identity.” Let’s unpack that. Their “identity” involves trailing by eight points in the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bulls before losing 121-120. Their “growth” includes Alex Sarr dropping 18 points a night while Washington’s three-point shooting percentage (37.5%) would make a coffee addict blush.

And yet, there’s hope! Corey Kispert recently joined the 600-three-pointer club, a milestone that’s less about this game and more about proving the Wizards can technically hit a shot from deep… eventually.

Humorous Highlights: A Comedy of Errors
- Jalen Johnson: If Michael Jordan and a Swiss watchmaker had a point-forward, he’d be Jalen Johnson. Precision? Check. Near-triple-doubles? Check. Zero turnovers? That’s just Johnson saying, “I’m not here to play 2K with your defense.”
- Washington’s Defense: The Wizards’ defense is like a colander that’s been told a sad story—it lets everything through. Atlanta’s offense, meanwhile, is a Michelin-starred chef: creative, consistent, and leaving a mess for the opposition to clean up.
- Trae Young’s Absence: The Hawks are thriving without Trae, proving that sometimes, a team needs a vacation from its star player. Trae, if you’re watching: Your job is waiting. We’ve kept your seat warm… and your stats sheet cold.

Prediction: Hawks Cover, Wizards Contemplate Existence
The Hawks are a -10.5 favorite for a reason: they’re a well-oiled machine with no Trae, while the Wizards are a well-oiled puddle of despair. With Johnson dominating, Porzingis anchoring the frontcourt, and Washington’s defense resembling a sieve at a music festival, Atlanta should win comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Hawks 122, Washington Wizards 108.

And if the Wizards somehow pull off the miracle? Congratulate them—they’ve finally mastered the art of the “streak,” just not the kind they wanted. As for the Hawks? They’ll be celebrating with a team dinner… at a restaurant that doesn’t serve salad.

Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 9:16 p.m. GMT

Pikkit - Sports Betting Tracker, Odds, Insights & Analysis.