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Prediction: Baltimore Ravens VS Washington Commanders 2025-08-23

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Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens Preseason Showdown: A Tale of Two Tommies (and One Dominant Defense)

Ladies and gentlemen, grab your popcorn—this isn’t just a football game; it’s a roster purge masquerading as a contest. The Washington Commanders and Baltimore Ravens meet in the preseason finale, where the stakes are lower than the Commanders’ offensive output this exhibition season (18 points in two games—wow). Let’s break this down with the precision of a NFL scout who still uses a slide rule.


Parsing the Odds: Why the Ravens Are the Preseason King of the Hill
The Ravens are -150 moneyline favorites and -2.5 to -3.0 spread darlings across books, implying a 60% implied probability of victory. For context, the Commanders’ chances are roughly equivalent to me correctly predicting the weather based on a cat’s mood.

John Harbaugh, the NFL’s resident preseason wizard, has a 46-17 exhibition record, including a 24-game unbeaten streak from 2016–2023. Dan Quinn? His Commanders are 7-19 in preseason, which is about as reliable as a chair made of spaghetti. The Ravens have already covered both their exhibition games (24-16 vs. Colts, 31-13 vs. Cowboys), while Washington has been outscored 79-35. If the Commanders’ offense were a restaurant, it’d have three health violations and a Yelp review that just says “meh.”


News Digest: Injuries, Rookies, and the Eternal Struggle for Roster Spots
The Commanders are in a running-back crisis after trading Brian Robinson Jr. Rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt will start, flanked by Austin Ekeler (a future Hall of Famer… in the backup role) and Jeremy McNichols. Meanwhile, Chris Rodriguez Jr. is playing for his life—literally, if you ask the waiver wire.

The Ravens? They’re treating this like a dress rehearsal for the regular season’s “we’re totally fine” act. Baltimore’s starters won’t play, but their backups have already looked sharper than Washington’s starters. The Commanders’ defense, meanwhile, has allowed 48 points to the Patriots and 31 to the Bengals. If this were a horror movie, their secondary would be the killer with the hook-handed glove.


Humor Injection: Because Football Analysis Needs Less Gravity
Let’s be real: Dan Quinn’s preseason teams play football like a group of librarians attempting to defend a chessboard from a toddler with a Nerf gun. The Ravens, on the other hand, are the reason John Harbaugh gets paid to look like a man who’s seen the future and still thinks it’s a good idea to wear a blazer.

The Commanders’ offense? It’s the NFL’s answer to a dial-up modem—slow, frustrating, and occasionally accompanied by a dial tone. Their running game is so anemic, even the grass on the field is side-eyeing it. And their passing attack? It’s like a magician who forgets his own tricks.

As for the Ravens’ backups? They’re out here playing like they’ve got a 401(k) riding on this. Baltimore’s defense is so disciplined, they’d probably tackle a free pizza delivery guy if he strayed into the end zone.


Prediction: Why the Ravens Cover, Unless They Trip Over Their Own Shoelaces
Despite the “no starters” caveat, the Ravens’ depth is too strong, and Harbaugh’s preseason magic is real. The Commanders’ struggles are existential at this point—Washington hasn’t scored more than 18 points in a game, which is one point shy of a “meh” rating on Rotten Tomatoes.

Final Verdict: Take the Ravens -2.5. They’ll win this by covering the spread like a well-wrapped Christmas gift—neatly, confidently, and with zero intention of letting you open it (i.e., let Washington score). If you back the Commanders, you’re essentially betting that a group of interns can outperform a team of seasoned professionals in a game of Monopoly. Spoiler: They can’t.

Now, go bet responsibly—or don’t, because FanDuel’s bonus offer is literally in the article. Your move. 🏈

Created: Aug. 23, 2025, 7:19 a.m. GMT

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