Prediction: Baylor Bears VS Creighton Bluejays 2025-11-24
Baylor Bears vs. Creighton Bluejays: A Vegas Showdown of Scoring Snipers and Steal Artists
The Baylor Bears (3-0) and Creighton Bluejays (3-1) are set to clash in Las Vegas like two boxers circling the ring, each with their own flashy moves and hidden weaknesses. The odds? Baylor is a 3.5-point favorite across most books, with totals hovering around 155 points. Let’s break this down with the precision of a Vegas croupier and the humor of a stand-up comic who’s had one too many margaritas.
Parse the Odds: A Numbers Game
Baylor’s implied probability of winning sits around 60-61% (based on decimal odds of ~1.65), while Creighton checks in at 43-44%. The spread? A modest -3.5 for Baylor, suggesting bookmakers expect a nail-biter. The over/under of 154.5-155.5 points hints at a high-octane affair, though neither team’s defense inspires confidence.
Last season, Baylor averaged 76.1 points per game but allowed 69.8, while Creighton scored 75.5 and let in 70.0. On paper, it’s a statistical stalemate—like two chefs arguing over who makes the better “meh” omelet. But here’s the kicker: Baylor’s defense thrives on steals (7.5 per game), while Creighton’s offense relies on assists (17.1 per game). It’s a cat-and-mouse game between Baylor’s swipers and Creighton’s playmakers.
Digest the News: Fresh Faces and Familiar Foes
Baylor’s early success hinges on Cameron Carr (23.7 ppg, 67.6% FG) and freshman Tounde Yessoufou (16.3 ppg, 2.7 spg), who’s basically a human highlight reel with a clipboard. Coach Scott Drew, a 4-3 lifetime against Creighton’s Greg McDermott, has a psychological edge—and let’s be honest, Scott Drew has been outcoaching Greg since they were both arguing over the last Oreo in gym class.
Creighton, meanwhile, is a team of eight contributors, but 67.5% of their points come from four newcomers: Blake Harper (13.0 ppg, 7.5 rpg), Josh Dix, Nik Graves, and Owen Freeman. It’s like building a house of cards with a deck you borrowed from a stranger. Their lone loss? A 90-63 drubbing at Gonzaga, which might haunt them like a bad Tinder photo.
Humorous Spin: Three-Pointers, Heartburn, and Vegas Vibes
Baylor’s three-point shooting (34.8%, 129th nationally) is about as reliable as a casino slot machine on a Tuesday. They attempt just 8.4 threes per game—probably because they’re too busy swiping the ball (2.8 steals) to stop and aim. If the Bears want to win, they’ll need to shoot like they’re at a basketball arcade game and “win a free soda.”
Creighton, on the other hand, fires away 9.6 threes per game but converts at a 34.5% clip—imagine ordering 9.6 pizzas and only getting three delivered. Their offense is a group project: four new players trying not to drop the ball while the rest of the class stares, confused.
And let’s not forget the venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena. For Baylor, it’s a chance to turn Vegas into “Baylor Vegas,” while Creighton hopes to avoid becoming the latest cautionary tale in Sin City.
Prediction: The Final Whistle
Baylor’s depth, defensive grit, and Scott Drew’s historical edge make them the smarter bet. Creighton’s reliance on unproven contributors and shaky three-point shooting could unravel against a team that forces turnovers like a magician pulling a rabbit from a hat.
Final Score Prediction: Baylor 78, Creighton 72.
Why? Because Baylor’s steals will turn into points, Creighton’s freshmen will freeze under pressure (like a student in a pop quiz), and the spread of 3.5 is just enough to make Baylor’s win feel “respectable” without requiring a full-blown rout.
In the end, it’s a game of execution. But in Vegas, even the best-laid plans can go south if you bet on the wrong horse… or in this case, the wrong Bluejay.
Bet: Baylor -3.5. Unless you enjoy the thrill of a last-second buzzer-beater… and a slow, sad drip of regret.
Created: Nov. 24, 2025, 7 p.m. GMT