Prediction: Cal Baptist Lancers VS Colorado Buffaloes 2025-12-01
Buffaloes vs. Lancers: A Tale of Two Rebounds (and Why Colorado Still Wins)
The Colorado Buffaloes (7-0) and Cal Baptist Lancers (7-0) are set to clash in a showdown that’s less “March Madness” and more “January Must-See TV.” Both teams are riding seven-game winning streaks, but one will suffer its first loss of the season. Let’s break down the numbers, news, and why this game might be less of a coronation and more of a… rebounding lesson.
Parsing the Odds: Why the Bookmakers Think This is a Foregone Conclusion
The betting lines make this look like a mismatch. Colorado is a -11.5-point favorite across most books, with implied probabilities hovering around 90% (thanks to decimal odds of ~1.11). Cal Baptist, meanwhile, is a +6.9 underdog, implying a 14.5% chance to pull off the upset. The total is set at 147.5 points, which feels about right—Colorado averages 90.3 PPG, while Cal Baptist allows just 63.0. That’s the statistical equivalent of a toaster trying to outscore a fire extinguisher.
But here’s the twist: Cal Baptist isn’t just a paper tiger. They rank 4th nationally in rebounding margin (+14.3), compared to Colorado’s pedestrian +6.8. If the Lancers can dominate the boards, they might turn this into a game of “Rock, Paper, Scissors, Rebound.”
Digesting the News: Injuries, Quotes, and Why Cal Baptist’s Coach Talks Like a Stamp Enthusiast
No major injuries reported for either team—though if Cal Baptist’s Martel Williams trips over his own shoelaces again, we might see a different story. Colorado’s star Bangot Dak, the Acrisure Holiday Classic MVP, is healthy and blocking shots like they’re expired coupons.
Cal Baptist coach Rick Croy called their Oregon State win a “stamp” rather than a “statement.” Let’s unpack that: A stamp is a small, incremental mark, while a statement is a full-page ad. Translation? Croy’s team is humble, focused, and might just surprise you.
Colorado coach Tad Boyle, meanwhile, is playing it safe: “We can’t take anything for granted.” Translation? We’re worried about these guys because they’re good at rebounding and not letting us score 100.
Humorous Spin: Popcorn Machines, Satellite Rebounds, and the Eternal Struggle of “Buffalo” vs. “Lancer”
Let’s be real: Colorado’s offense is a popcorn machine—it’s loud, it’s chaotic, and it’s going to fill your mouth with points whether you like it or not. At 90.3 PPG, they’re scoring like they’re in a video game on “EASY” mode. Cal Baptist’s defense? A vault guarded by a swarm of bees. They allow 63.0 PPG, which is impressive… until you realize they’ve only played teams that confuse a fast break for a slow jog.
And then there’s the rebounding. Cal Baptist’s +14.3 margin is so absurd, they could catch a falling satellite. Colorado’s +6.8? That’s the margin you get when your team’s idea of a “rebound” is just hoping the ball doesn’t hit the rim three times.
Prediction: Why Colorado Wins, But Doesn’t Exactly “Win Big”
While the odds and stats scream “Colorado romp,” the Lancers’ defense and rebounding could make this a tighter game than the spread suggests. But here’s the rub: Colorado’s offense is too explosive, and Cal Baptist’s road success (2-0) doesn’t include facing a team that shoots 48% from the field and dishes out 18.6 assists per game.
Final Score Prediction: Colorado 78, Cal Baptist 65.
Why? Because the Buffaloes have the firepower to outscore Cal Baptist’s “stamp” mentality, and because no underdog’s humility can survive 14.9 ppg from Isaiah Johnson and a defense that looks great on paper but less so against a team that actually wants to score.
Bet? Take Colorado -11.5, but only if you’re not a sucker for “upset narratives.” Unless Cal Baptist’s Martel Williams starts blocking shots like he’s in a Matrix audition, this one’s a Buffaloes romp.
In the end, it’s not about the spread—it’s about the rebound. And in this case, Colorado’s going to grab most of them, eat a lot more points, and send Cal Baptist back to the drawing board. Literally.
Created: Dec. 1, 2025, 3:46 a.m. GMT