Prediction: Calgary Flames VS St Louis Blues 2025-11-11
St. Louis Blues vs. Calgary Flames: A High-Stakes, High-Scoring Shootout
The St. Louis Blues (-150) host the Calgary Flames (+125) in a matchup that’s as chaotic as a toddler’s first encounter with a buffet. On paper, the Blues should be unstoppable—right up until you remember they’ve gone 1-8 when favored this season. Meanwhile, the Flames, armed with the persistence of a bad pop song, have pulled off three upsets as underdogs. Let’s break this down with the precision of a goalie trying to block a puck mid-air:
Parsing the Odds: A Statistical Circus
The over/under is 5.5 goals, but both teams have a combined 7.1 goals allowed per game—like two chefs accidentally making a soufflé that explodes into 14 pieces. The Blues rank 32nd in goals against (3.9/g) and haven’t posted a shutout this season. The Flames? They’re 32nd in goal differential (-19) and score 2.1 goals per game—about as effective as a screensaver trying to catch your attention.
Implied probabilities tell a different story: The Blues’ -150 line suggests a 60% chance of victory, but their 1-8 record as favorites reads like a broken clock (accurate sometimes, but not trustworthy). The Flames’ +125 line implies a 44.4% chance, yet they’re 3-15 as underdogs—less a Cinderella story and more a “Cinderella trapped in a closet” story.
Injury Report: A Cast of Thousands (Minus the Stars)
The Blues are missing Jake Neighbours, whose absence is about as impactful as realizing you forgot to invite your best friend to your party. The Flames are dealing with day-to-day injuries to Kevin Bahl and Martin Pospisil, plus Zayne Parekh’s upper-body injury. Calgary’s defense looks like a Swiss cheese factory fire sale, and St. Louis’ defense? Well, they’re 31st in goals against. Together, they form a defensive alliance that’d make a sieve blush.
The Over/Under: A Goal-Scoring Arms Race
The total is 5.5 goals, but these teams have combined for 7.1 goals per game this season—like two kids in a candy store, except the candy is explosive. The Blues have seen 10 of 16 games exceed 5.5 goals; Calgary has done it in all 11 of their games. Even their defenders look like they’re out there for the free pizza. With both teams’ defenses playing like a sieve at a bakery, the Over 5.5 (-117 to -113 across books) is the only logical choice—unless you enjoy watching Jordan Binnington and Dustin Wolf get goaltended into oblivion.
Prediction: A Fireworks Show in the Gateway City
The Blues’ Pius Suter and Robert Thomas will rack up points, but their defense will look like a group of kindergarteners trying to build a wall out of Jell-O. The Flames’ Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau will capitalize on Calgary’s leaky defense, which is about as secure as a suitcase on a subway.
Final Score Prediction: Blues 4, Flames 3 (Over 5.5).
Why? Because when two teams combine to allow 7.1 goals per game, it’s not a hockey game—it’s a goal-a-minute infomercial. Bet the Over, unless you’re invested in the slow, agonizing demise of NHL defensemen everywhere.
Goaltenders, brace yourselves—it’s going to be a long night. 🏒💥
Created: Nov. 11, 2025, 9:35 p.m. GMT