Prediction: Charleston Southern Buccaneers VS Tenn-Martin Skyhawks 2025-12-02

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: A Statistical Circus with a 5.5-Point Spread

Ladies and gentlemen, gather ‘round for the most thrilling clash of college basketball since a toddler discovered the concept of “elbows.” The Charleston Southern Buccaneers (5-4) traipse into Tennessee to face the UT Martin Skyhawks (5-2), where the betting line has the Skyhawks favored by 5.5 points. Let’s unpack this like a Christmas present wrapped in riddles.

Parsing the Odds: Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly)
UT Martin, the home team, is a fortress of mediocrity. They average 76.9 points per game (203rd in D1) but allow a paltry 66.4 (59th). Their +10.5 point differential sounds impressive until you realize they’re basically the “okay, but not great” of college hoops—like a toaster that also brews coffee but still burns your toast. They dominate the rebound battle by 9.7 boards per game (38.6 RPG, 33rd nationally), which is less impressive when you realize their opponent, Charleston Southern, grabs 39.2 rebounds per game (25th). It’s a rebounders’ WWE match.

Charleston, meanwhile, is the Elon Musk of basketball: high-risk, high-reward. They average 82.8 points per game (102nd) but allow 79.7 (290th). Their +28 scoring differential is a statistical mirage fueled by their third-most three-pointers per game (12.9). However, their Achilles’ heel? Turnovers. The Buccaneers cough up the ball 13.1 times per game—enough to make a magician jealous. They’ve only won when they commit fewer turnovers than their opponents… which, coincidentally, has only happened once this season.

Digesting the News: Injuries and Recent Form
UT Martin’s recent 75-50 win over Brescia was a snoozefest for the neutral fan, a la “watching a spreadsheet update itself.” Star forward Matas Deniusas dropped 14 points, but their real strength is their defense, which stifles opponents into shooting 26.4% from three. Andrija Bukumirovic, their 65.7% shooter, is the team’s human equivalent of a Swiss Army knife—reliable, efficient, and occasionally used to open stubborn pickle jars.

Charleston’s Brycen Blaine is a one-man wrecking crew, averaging 23.3 points and 8.2 rebounds. His 23-point explosion against South Carolina was the highlight of a 74-62 loss—a game that felt like watching a fireworks show where the fuse keeps blowing out. The Buccaneers’ offense is a caffeinated squirrel: hyperactive and unpredictable. But their road record (2-3) is worse than a dating app in a small town—promising, but not reliable.

The Humor: Because Sports Needs Laughs
Let’s be real: Charleston’s turnover problem isn’t a flaw; it’s a feature. Their ball-handling is like a toddler in a candy store—enthusiastic, chaotic, and destined to drop the Snickers at the worst moment. If turnovers were a sport, the Buccaneers would be the gold medalist.

UT Martin’s defense, meanwhile, is the reason why your gym bag never stays zipped. It’s not that they’re great—it’s that they’re consistent. They don’t let opponents get too comfortable, like a roommate who always eats the last slice of pizza but at least tells you first.

Prediction: Who’s Cooking Dinner?
The numbers scream UT Martin by 7-9 points. Their home-court advantage, defensive efficiency, and Charleston’s turnover habit form a perfect storm. Yes, Charleston’s offense is a rocket ship, but without ball security, they’re more like a rocket ship with a dud engine.

Final Score Prediction: UT Martin 78, Charleston Southern 71.

Why? Because the Skyhawks’ +10.5 differential and Charleston’s road woes make this a statistical inevitability… unless Brycen Blaine starts making free throws. But let’s not jinx it.

Bet: Take UT Martin -5.5. The spread is generous, but their defense will suffocate Charleston’s three-point parade. And if history teaches us anything, it’s that you never bet against a team named after a “Skyhawk” having the last laugh. 🏀✨

Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It’s just a bunch of numbers and dad jokes. Do your own homework before betting your grandma’s knitting needles.

Created: Dec. 2, 2025, 4:20 p.m. GMT

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