Prediction: Charlotte Hornets VS New Orleans Pelicans 2025-11-04
Charlotte Hornets vs. New Orleans Pelicans: A Tale of Two Teams (One With More Hope)
The Charlotte Hornets (3-4) and New Orleans Pelicans (0-6) are set to clash on November 4, 2025, in a game thatâs less of a basketball showdown and more of a âwhoâs less broken?â contest. Letâs break down the numbers, news, and why this game might be the NBAâs version of watching paint dryâthough at least paint doesnât have a -18.7 average point differential.
Parsing the Odds: A Math Class You Didnât Sign Up For
The Pelicans are oddly listed as 2.5-point favorites (-112) despite being winless and ranking dead last in net rating. How? Blame the âLaMelo Ball Injury Compensation Theory.â The Hornetsâ star point guard is questionable with an ankle impingement, which bookmakers apparently interpret as âCharlotte is now a gift for the taking.â But letâs crunch the actual numbers:
- Implied Probabilities: At -112, the Pelicansâ implied win probability is ~52.4% (112 / (112 + 100)). For the Hornets at +2.5 (-108), itâs ~51.7%. So, the line suggests neither team is trusted, but the Pelicans are just barely âless untrustworthy.â
- Historical Context: New Orleans leads the all-time series 28-13, but Charlotte has won 3 of their last 5 meetings. The Pelicansâ home dominance? A mirageâthis seasonâs home teams have won all their games against each other, which is about as reliable as a weather forecast in a hurricane.
- Injuries: The Pelicans are playing with the depth of a shallow puddleâDejounte Murray (out), Zion Williamson (questionable), and a trade-deadline acquisition (Derik Queen, whoâs scoring like a rookie in a 2K simulation: 7.3 PPG). The Hornets? Theyâve won without LaMelo before (see: their blowout of the Jazz) and have a 4-3 ATS record, which is basically the NBA equivalent of a âBâ in a class you didnât care about.
News Digest: Pelicans Trade Hope for a Mid-First-Round Pick
The Pelicansâ season thus far is best described as âThe Office meets The Titanic.â Theyâve lost all six games, and their roster looks like a draft class that forgot to develop. Key updates:
- Zion Williamson: Listed as questionable, which is Pelicans code for âWeâre not sure if heâll play, but weâre definitely not sure why heâs on our team.â
- Dejounte Murray: Out for the foreseeable future. The Pelicans paid how much for this?
- Derik Queen: The teamâs latest acquisition, whoâs averaging 7.3 points and 4.8 rebounds in 17.5 minutes. Imagine paying an unprotected 2026 first-rounder for a player whoâs basically a role-player in a video game.
- Jordan Poole and Trey Murphy III: Now thrust into stardom, theyâre like chefs told to cook a five-star meal with a microwave and expired ketchup.
Charlotteâs news is marginally lessć¨. LaMelo Ballâs ankle injury is questionable, but the Hornets have shown resilienceâwinning without him and holding a solid 16th-ranked net rating. If Ball plays, heâs projected to out-rebound a power forward (5.5 rebounds, per props), which is either a stat or a metaphor for his teamâs current state.
Humorous Spin: Pelicans Are the NBAâs Version of a Broken VCR
Letâs be real: The Pelicans are the VCR of the NBAâuseless, confusing, and nobody knows why they still exist. Theyâve traded their future for a player whoâs averaging fewer points than a starting benchwarmer, and their offense is so anemic, theyâd make a vegan look carnivorous.
Meanwhile, the Hornets are like that one friend who shows up to a party with a backup plan, a snack, and a contingency fund. Even without LaMelo, theyâve blown teams out. With him? Theyâre a 3-4 team thatâs somehow more âfunctionalâ than New Orleans, which is like saying a toaster that occasionally catches fire is âmostly safe.â
And letâs not forget the over/under of 236.5 points. Thatâs enough scoring to make a basketball game look like a NBA 2K save file corrupted into a dunk contest. Bet the Over if you enjoy chaos; take the Under if youâve ever slept.
Prediction: Hornets +2.5 to Win the âNot Total Disasterâ Award
While the Pelicansâ 0-6 start is a statistical anomaly (or a cry for help), the Hornetsâ 3-4 record and better net rating make them the logical pick to cover the 2.5-point spread. Even with LaMeloâs status in doubt, Charlotteâs depth and New Orleansâ abject despair tilt the scales.
Final Verdict: Take the Hornets +2.5 (-108). The Pelicans might be -2.5 favorites, but theyâre +100% likely to make you question the entire structure of the NBA. Unless youâre into dramatic collapses, own goals, or watching a team trade its soul for a player named âDerik,â Charlotteâs your bet.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. If you gamble, do so responsiblyâpreferably not with the same recklessness that got the Pelicans here.
Created: Nov. 4, 2025, 6:30 p.m. GMT