Prediction: Chicago Bulls VS Indiana Pacers 2025-11-29
Chicago Bulls vs. Indiana Pacers: A Tale of Two Teams, One Disastrous Road Trip
The Chicago Bulls, fresh off a two-game losing streak on their four-game road trip, will face the Indiana Pacers on November 29, 2025, in a matchup that’s less of a contest and more of a mercy mission for the Pacers. Let’s break this down with the precision of a NBA analyst and the humor of a stand-up comedian who’s seen one too many blown fourth-quarter leads.
Parse the Odds: Bulls Favor, Pacers Suffer
The Bulls are listed as 4-point favorites with a 243.5-point over/under, implying bookmakers expect a relatively high-scoring game. Chicago’s implied win probability sits at 64%, while Indiana’s is a paltry 40%. But here’s the rub: the Bulls are just 4-9 when favored by 4+ points this season, covering the spread only once. Meanwhile, the Pacers are a surprising 8-5 against the spread as underdogs of 4+ points. It’s like they’ve mastered the art of “losing by less than expected,” a tragicomic superpower.
Statistically, the Bulls’ defense is a sieve (allowing 130.0 PPG in their last 10 games), while the Pacers’ offense is a leaky faucet (109.9 PPG in their last 10). The over/under of 243.5 is 12.4 points higher than the teams’ combined average (231.1 PPG), suggesting bettors might lean toward the over. But with the Pacers scoring just 109.9 PPG recently and the Bulls’ defense looking like a deflated balloon, maybe the under is sneaky smart. Confused? Don’t worry, even the Pacers’ front office seems lost.
Digest the News: Injuries, Free Agency, and a Circus Without Elephants
The Pacers are a team in disarray. They lost Tyrese Haliburton (out for the season with an Achilles injury) and Myles Turner (traded to Charlotte), leaving them to rely on Pascal Siakam and Bennedict Mathurin. Siakam, Indiana’s emotional leader, is averaging 23.9 points but has historically struggled against the Bulls, posting just 16 PPG in past matchups. Meanwhile, Mathurin is a bright spot at 23.0 PPG, but he’s chasing a team that’s won 107 of 211 all-time regular-season meetings.
The Bulls, meanwhile, are led by Josh Giddey, who’s flirting with triple-doubles (20.8 PPG, 9.9 RPG, 9.5 APG), and Coby White, who’s returned from injury to average 24+ PPG. But Chicago’s defense? Let’s just say they’re like a sieve that’s been upgraded to a colander—still porous, but now it’s art.
Injuries are rampant on both sides. The Pacers have seven players listed as out or day-to-day, including Quenton Jackson (hamstring) and Obi Toppin (foot). The Bulls aren’t immune, with Dalen Terry (calf) and Isaac Okoro (back) sidelined. It’s a medical convention out there.
Humorous Spin: The Pacers Are a Broken VCR, the Bulls Are a Slow Microwave
The Pacers are like a VCR trying to play a DVD—outdated, confused, and destined for a museum. Without Haliburton and Turner, they’re a team that’s lost its remote control. Siakam is their lone star, but even he’s been dimmed by the Bulls’ defense, which is about as effective as a screen door on a submarine.
The Bulls? They’re a microwave that takes 20 minutes to heat up. Giddey’s triple-doubles are impressive, but they’re often overshadowed by Chicago’s porous defense, which allows opponents to score like they’re at a buffet. Coby White’s return is a silver lining, but he’s been averaging 24.2 PPG since November 17—imagine if he could do that before his injury.
Prediction: Bulls Win, But Pacers Make It Interesting
While the Bulls’ 64% implied probability suggests a Chicago cover, their recent struggles as favorites and the Pacers’ 8-5 ATS record as underdogs paint a murkier picture. The Bulls’ offense should overwhelm Indiana’s injury-riddled defense, but Chicago’s own defensive woes (130 PPG allowed) and the Pacers’ rebounding prowess (45.3 RPG) could keep this closer than the line suggests.
Final Verdict: The Bulls win 118-112, but the Pacers cover the 4-point spread by making the game a thriller. Bet the over on points—Chicago’s offense and Indiana’s leaky defense will combine for a shootout. And if you’re feeling spicy, take the Pacers +4 just to see if they can pull off the unthinkable: a loss by less than 5 points.
In the end, it’s a game where the Bulls’ margin of victory will be about as wide as a single-lane highway, but the Pacers will make you forget they’re 16-3. Go figure.
Created: Nov. 29, 2025, 7:26 p.m. GMT