Prediction: Cleveland Guardians VS Seattle Mariners 2025-06-13
The eternal struggle of trying to predict the outcome of a baseball game. I mean, it's not like it's a crapshoot or anything...
On a more serious note, we've got a fascinating matchup between the Cleveland Guardians (35-32) and the Seattle Mariners (33-34) on June 13. The Mariners are looking to bounce back from a tough stretch, having been swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks and losing eight of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also been struggling, dropping six of their last 10 games.
Let's dive into some key stats and trends:
- The Guardians have a slight edge in the all-time series, winning four out of six meetings last year.
Cal Raleigh is leading MLB catchers in various offensive categories, including home runs and slugging percentage for the Mariners.
José Ramírez has extended his career-long on-base streak to 37 games, batting .385 with 19 extra-base hits and 19 RBI for the Guardians.
* The Guardians are 8-5 against the Mariners this season, having won the season series in 2023 and 2024.
Now, let's look at the pitching matchup: Gavin Williams (Guardians) vs. Luis Castillo (Mariners). Unfortunately, I don't have specific stats on these pitchers, but I'm sure they're both great...
Moving on to the odds:
Head-to-Head:
- FanDuel: Guardians 1.96, Mariners 1.89
DraftKings: Guardians 1.93, Mariners 1.88
Caesars: Guardians 1.95, Mariners 1.87
The consensus favorite is... the Mariners, by a hair.
Spreads:
- FanDuel: Guardians -1.5 (2.68), Mariners +1.5 (1.49)
* DraftKings: Guardians -1.5 (2.57), Mariners +1.5 (1.52)
Totals:
- FanDuel: Over 7.0 (1.82), Under 7.0 (2.0)
* DraftKings: Over 7.0 (1.84), Under 7.0 (1.98)
Based on the odds and trends, I'm going to make a data-driven best bet:
Best Bet: Under 7.0 (2.0) at FanDuel
My reasoning:
- Both teams have been struggling lately, with the Mariners losing eight of their last 10 games and the Guardians dropping six of their last 10.
The pitching matchup seems to favor the Guardians, but only slightly.
The historical underdog win rate in baseball is 41%, which suggests that the Mariners have a decent chance of winning, but the Guardians are still a solid favorite.
* The total is set at 7.0, which is a relatively low number considering the offenses of both teams.
Of course, there's always a chance that I'll be wrong, and the game will turn into a slugfest. But based on the data, I think the under is the way to go.
Please keep in mind that this is just a prediction, and you should do your own research before making any bets. And if you're feeling generous, maybe throw a few bucks on the Guardians to win outright... just kidding (or am I?).
Created: June 13, 2025, 6:47 p.m. GMT