Prediction: Colorado Rockies VS Atlanta Braves 2025-06-13
Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup for you tonight - the Colorado Rockies, who are somehow still in the game (sort of), are heading to Atlanta to take on the Braves. The Braves are looking to capitalize on their decent home record and the Rockies' abysmal 12-55 record.
The Braves are sitting at -292 favorites, which translates to about a 75% win probability, while the Rockies are +237 underdogs, around a 30% chance of winning. Historically, underdogs win about 41% of the time in baseball, so the Rockies have some long-shot value tonight.
The pitching matchup features Bryce Elder (2-3, 4.08 ERA) for the Braves against German Marquez (2-8, 7.00 ERA) for the Rockies. Elder has been decent at home, while Marquez has been... well, Marquez has been Marquez. The Braves' pitching staff boasts a 3.74 ERA, ranking 11th in MLB, while the Rockies' staff has a 5.63 ERA, ranking 29th.
The Braves' offense is led by Matt Olson (14 home runs, 39 RBIs), Marcell Ozuna, and Austin Riley. For the Rockies, Hunter Goodman (11 home runs, 39 RBIs), Jordan Beck, and Ryan McMahon are the ones to watch.
The totals market has the over/under at 8.5 runs, with the over priced around 1.87 and the under around 1.95. Given the Braves' strong pitching and the Rockies' struggles on offense, I'm inclined to lean towards the under.
Now, for the best bet:
Atlanta Braves -292: This is a pretty straightforward pick. The Braves have a strong pitching staff, a decent home record, and are facing a Rockies team that's been historically bad. While the odds aren't super enticing, the Braves' chances of winning seem pretty high.
Under 8.5 runs: Given the Braves' pitching and the Rockies' offense, I think the under is a solid play. The Rockies just can't seem to score, and the Braves' pitching staff should be able to keep them in check.
There you have it - Braves and under 8.5 runs. Not the most exciting pick, but the data seems to back it up.
Created: June 13, 2025, 3:49 p.m. GMT