Prediction: Court McGee VS Michael Chiesa 2025-06-14
Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup for you tonight, but unfortunately, it's not quite the main event. I'm talking about the welterweight bout between Court McGee and Michael Chiesa. Now, I know what you're thinking - Chiesa's a bit of a favorite here, but don't count out McGee just yet.
First off, let's talk about the odds. According to our friends at BetOnline.ag, Chiesa is sitting at a pretty hefty favorite, -165 (or 1.29) to win, while McGee is the underdog at +280 (or 3.8). Now, I've got to say, those odds are pretty enticing if you're looking to fade the favorite.
But here's the thing: McGee's got some tricks up his sleeve. The dude's a submission specialist, with a bunch of wins by tapout. And Chiesa, while a well-rounded fighter, has shown some vulnerabilities in the past.
Now, I'm not saying McGee's gonna pull off the upset or anything (although, at 35% underdog win rate in MMA, you never know). But I do think he's got a decent shot at keeping this one competitive.
So, here's my data-driven best bet: take McGee by submission (around +650 or 6.5). I mean, it's not like Chiesa's got a ton of weaknesses, but if anyone can catch him in a slick submission, it's McGee.
As for the over/under, I'm leaning towards the under 2.5 (around -110 or 1.95). These two guys are both pretty calculated in their approaches, and I don't see this one turning into a brawl.
All in all, it's gonna be a fun fight, folks. And if you're looking to make some savvy bets, I'd say take a hard look at McGee and the under.
Best Bet: Court McGee by submission (+650) and under 2.5 (-110)
Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins by decision (but it's close)
Odds:
- Michael Chiesa: -165 (1.29)
* Court McGee: +280 (3.8)
Injury Report: None that I'm aware of, but keep an eye on both guys' training camps for any late scratches or injuries.
There you have it, folks. Enjoy the fights!
Created: June 14, 2025, 5:57 p.m. GMT