Prediction: Creighton Bluejays VS Xavier Musketeers 2025-12-17

Xavier vs. Creighton: A Big East Showdown Where Three-Pointers Go to Die

The Big East’s most thrilling mismatch (for Creighton’s three-pointers, at least) arrives as Xavier hosts the Creighton Bluejays on December 17. Let’s break down the numbers, news, and why this game might be less of a contest and more of a math problem.

Parsing the Odds: Xavier’s Implied Probability Is Basically a Tax Audit
The books are screaming “Xavier, baby!” with the Musketeers priced at -162 implied probability (decimal odds of 1.62) across most platforms, while Creighton languishes at +240 (41.7% implied). That’s a 22.5% edge for Xavier—about the same advantage a trapeze artist has over a groundhog in a “don’t fall” contest. The spread? Xavier -3.0, with totals hovering at 151.5 points. Translation: Xavier’s offense (78.4 PPG) should smoke Creighton’s porous defense (72.6 allowed), but the Bluejays’ elite three-point defense (5th in points allowed inside the arc) might keep this tighter than a Creighton shooter’s grip on a basketball.

News Digest: Xavier’s Rebound Vacuum vs. Creighton’s Three-Point Ghost
Xavier enters as the Big East’s rebounding juggernaut, averaging 33.7 boards per game, led by Filip Borovicanin’s 7.4 RPG. Their home dominance (7-1 record) is as reliable as a Netflix password on the first try. Key players like Tre Carroll (16.9 PPG) and Roddie Anderson III (13.2 PPG over 10 games) are the Musketeers’ offensive Musketeers—no cap. But their Achilles’ heel? Free throws (67.6%): a stat that makes you wonder if they’re shooting with their feet.

Creighton, meanwhile, is the college basketball version of a broken toaster: once hot, now sputtering. Their 0-2 road record and 1-5 vs. winning teams are as concerning as a baker who forgets to add flour. Josh Dix (12.3 PPG) and Nik Graves (21.4% three-point shooting) lead a team that’s somehow 9th in defensive efficiency but dead last in offensive three-point percentage (38%). Malik Messina-Moore’s 24.3% from deep? That’s not a player—it’s a cautionary tale.

Humorous Spin: Three-Pointers Go to Die, and So Might Creighton
Xavier’s offense is like a Netflix series: high production value, reliable returns, and a guarantee that something will go wrong in the final act (looking at you, free throws). Creighton’s three-point defense is a 7th-ranked fortress, but their own shooting is so bad, they’d probably lose to a team of dummies with shot blockers. Imagine Nik Graves at a carnival ring-toss game: “I told you I’d get one! …Wait, why do I have zero?”

The spread of -3 for Xavier feels like the sportsbooks are saying, “We’re pretty sure Xavier will win, but not so sure we’d bet our firstborn.” As for the total of 151.5? It’s the sportsbook’s way of whispering, “This game might be less of a shootout and more of a ‘who can shoot bricks slower’ contest.”

Prediction: Xavier Wins, But Not Without a Free-Throw Fiasco
Xavier’s rebounding dominance (+10.1 per game) and Creighton’s three-point ineptitude (-3.9 made per game) set up a mismatch that’s as lopsided as a pizza with no cheese. Xavier’s 78.4 PPG should overwhelm Creighton’s 66.3 defensive rating, but the Musketeers’ free-throw woes could let the Bluejays stay in range. If Malik Messina-Moore continues his three-point drought, Xavier’s offense becomes a one-way street.

Final Verdict: Xavier 76, Creighton 68. The Musketeers win behind Borovicanin’s rebounding and a mercy-rule three-point shutout on the Bluejays. Creighton’s only highlight? Proving that even elite defenses can’t save a team that shoots like a blindfolded toddler.

Bet Xavier -3.5 if you’re feeling spicy. Otherwise, take the Under 151.5—because this game’s scoring might be slower than a professor’s Wi-Fi. 🏀

Created: Dec. 17, 2025, 11:30 p.m. GMT

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