Prediction: Dallas Stars VS Montréal Canadiens 2025-11-13
Dallas Stars vs. Montreal Canadiens: A High-Stakes Shootout or a Goalie’s Nightmare?
The NHL’s most explosive rivalry of the season? Not Boston vs. Montreal. Not Colorado vs. Vegas. No, it’s the Dallas Stars and Montreal Canadiens, two teams so committed to scoring goals they might as well be playing Hockey: The Video Game on “Blowout Mode.” On Thursday, November 13, 2025, these teams collide at Bell Centre, where the puck is expected to travel faster than the implied probability of this game going over 6 goals. Let’s break it down with the precision of a Zamboni and the humor of a deflated air horn.
Odds & Stats: A Numbers Game
The Dallas Stars (-118) are slight favorites, but don’t let that fool you—they’re as reliable as a smartphone in a freezer. Their implied probability of 54.3% is barely ahead of Montreal’s 50.2%, which feels like a coin flip if the coin is a hockey puck and the floor is ice. The puck line? Montreal is giving 1.5 goals (+1.5), making this a “pick’em” in all but name.
The real star here is the over/under total of 6 goals, which looks about as realistic as a vegan diet for a professional wrestler. Both teams have combined for 6.6 goals per game this season—1.1 above the posted total. Dallas has scored 2.9 goals per game (17th in the NHL) but allows 3.1 (22nd). Montreal, meanwhile, is a goal-scoring machine: 3.6 per game (6th) with a +7 goal differential (8th). Their offense is so efficient, it makes a tax auditor blush.
Key stat: 17 of Dallas’ 18 games have gone over 5.5 goals. Montreal? All 13 of their games have. Together, they’re like two campers who brought a flamethrower and a gas can to a matchstick convention.
Injuries: A Cast of Thousands (Minus the Stars)
Dallas is missing Matt Duchene (out with an upper-body injury) and Nils Lundkvist (lower body), while Jamie Benn is day-to-day with a lung issue. Benn’s absence is the least tragic—his primary role this season is “man who coughs during critical moments.”
Montreal’s losses are steeper: Patrik Laine (24 goals, 34 points) and Kaiden Guhle (defense) are out. Laine’s absence is like a bakery losing its sourdough starter—suddenly, the Canadiens’ offense is “meh” instead of “magnifique.”
Goalie Showdown: Jake vs. Sam
- Jake Oettinger (Dallas): 2.89 GAA, 302 saves. A goalie who plays like he’s been told, “You’re doing great, but just… try not to let in 5 goals.”
- Samuel Montembeault (Montreal): 3.5 GAA, .861 SV%. A goalie who’s having a career year… if your career was “avoiding embarrassment.”
Verdict: Oettinger’s defense is a leaky umbrella in a hurricane; Montembeault’s is a sieve that’s also on fire.
Prediction: A Fireworks Show with Pucks
This game is a carbon copy of a Netflix action movie: high-octane, chaotic, and destined for a last-minute explosion. Dallas’ power play (20 goals, tops in the NHL) gives them an edge, but Montreal’s 14.7% shooting percentage (best in the league) means they’ll bury Dallas’ mistakes like a grizzly bear in a compost bin.
Final Score Prediction: Canadiens 4, Stars 3.
Why?
- Dallas’ defense is a sieve, and Montreal’s offense is a pressure washer.
- The over/under is 6 goals? This game will hit 7, with 4 of them coming from “questionable” deflections.
- The puck line (+1.5 for Montreal) is genius—if you’re betting on drama, take the Habs.
Bet Recommendation: Over 6 goals and Montreal +1.5. If you want to play it safe, take Dallas (-1.5) only if you’ve never seen a hockey game and think “power play” is a type of sandwich.
In conclusion, this matchup is less “hockey” and more “light the fuse.” Grab your popcorn, and hope someone remembers to bring the Zamboni. 🏒🔥
Created: Nov. 13, 2025, 8:56 a.m. GMT