Prediction: Drexel Dragons VS Morgan St Bears 2025-11-25
Drexel Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears: A Turnover Tornado Meets a Three-Point Orchestra
The Drexel Dragons (3-4) and Morgan State Bears (1-5) collide on November 25, 2025, in a matchup that’s less “March Madness” and more “November Nervous Breakdown.” Let’s dissect this clash with the precision of a stat geek who’s also seen Air Bud.
Parsing the Odds: Why Drexel’s Spread is a Math Problem
The Dragons are favored by 5.5–6.0 points across books, with decimal odds of 1.33–1.40 (implying a 71.4%–76.9% chance to win). For context, that’s like betting on the sun to rise—minus the existential dread. Morgan State’s odds (3.0–3.40, or 29.4%–31.25%) suggest they’re the sports equivalent of a toaster in a bakery: present, but useless when it matters.
The total is set at 143.5–144.5 points, which is oddly specific. If you’ve ever wondered what 144 points looks like, imagine Drexel’s 8.4 made threes per game raining down like a circus act gone wrong. Morgan State’s 43% FG shooting vs. Drexel’s 42.8% allowed is a statistical stalemate, but the Bears’ 11.8 turnovers per game? That’s a one-way ticket to “Easy 5-1.”
Digesting the News: Injuries, Turnovers, and Why Morgan State Should Pack a First Aid Kit
Drexel’s recent loss to NJIT (73-66) was a masterclass in “Almost Had It.” Amaris Baker dropped 35 points, but the Dragons’ 0-2 away record suggests they’re the NBA’s Brooklyn Nets in a parallel universe—talented, but terrified of leaving home.
Morgan State, meanwhile, is a walking turnover tornado. Their 11.8 turnovers per game have sunk them in every loss where they’ve lost the turnover battle. Rob Lawson (13 PPG) is their lone bright spot, but Alfred Worrell Jr.’s 28.6% shooting is about as reliable as a blindfolded jester firing darts.
Fun fact: Morgan State’s home record (1-2) is roughly the same as my ability to parallel park. Not great.
Humorous Spin: Circuses, Tornadoes, and Basketball
Drexel’s offense is a three-point orchestra conducted by Baker, who’s basically a human GPS for the arc. If they hit 40% of their threes (0.6 more than Morgan State allows), they’ll score like it’s March and everyone’s desperate.
Morgan State’s defense? A porous moat that let NJIT shoot 42.8% in their last game. Their turnovers are so prolific, they could host their own hurricane named “Alfred’s Airball Alley.”
As for the spread: Drexel’s 5.5-point favoritism is like giving a toddler a lollipop and expecting them to share. The Bears have lost their last four, including three by 10+ points. This isn’t a game—it’s a math test where the answer’s already on the board.
Prediction: Why Drexel is the Obvious Choice (But Let’s Pretend It’s Not)
While Drexel’s away struggles (0-2) add a sprinkle of “plot twist,” their 8.4 threes per game and Morgan State’s turnover tornado make this a statistical inevitability. The Bears’ 28.6% shooter (Worrell) vs. Drexel’s 42.8% field goal defense? That’s a mismatch even a kindergarten debater would spot.
Final Verdict: Drexel covers the spread (-5.5) with a 78–69 victory, and the total lands UNDER 144.5 because Morgan State’s “defense” will play tight enough to make a monk blush.
Bet on Drexel unless you enjoy watching a team turn the ball over like it’s a hostile takeover. The Dragons aren’t just favored—they’re the sports equivalent of a pop quiz on a Monday morning. You knew this was coming.
Now go bet responsibly, and for God’s sake, check your shoelaces, Morgan State. 🏀
Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 9:23 p.m. GMT