Prediction: Georgia State Panthers VS Old Dominion Monarchs 2025-11-29
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthers: A Lopsided Lark with Lopsided Odds
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a football mismatch so stark, it’s like watching a debate between a librarian and a WWE wrestler. On paper, the Old Dominion Monarchs (-28.5) are favored to dominate the Georgia State Panthers in a way that makes “humiliation” look like a team-building exercise. Let’s break this down with the statistical rigor of a spreadsheet-obsessed intern and the humor of a sports bar regular who’s had one too many.
Parsing the Odds: Why Old Dominion is the Statistical Favorite
First, the numbers scream “cover the spread” louder than a Georgia State fan’s wallet screams for mercy. Old Dominion’s offense is a well-oiled tank: 465.5 yards per game (14th in FBS) and 33.2 points per game (32nd). Their quarterback, Colton Joseph, is a dual-threat menace with 2,518 passing yards, 21 TDs, and 902 rushing yards (yes, rushing—he’s not just a pocket-passer). Meanwhile, Georgia State’s defense is about as effective as a sieve at a cheese factory, allowing 452.5 yards per game (4th-worst) and 38.8 points per game (2nd-worst).
The spread of -28.5 for Old Dominion isn’t just a number—it’s a math problem. For Georgia State to cover, they’d need to either:
1. Score 45+ points (unlikely, unless Cameran Brown invents the forward pass to himself), or
2. Win the game (impossible, unless time travel is involved).
The implied probability of Old Dominion winning this? Over 99% (per their decimal odds of ~1.01). Georgia State’s 21.0 odds? That’s a 4.76% chance of victory—statistically, about as likely as a snowman winning a race in the Sahara.
Digesting the News: Injuries, Momentum, and Why Georgia State Should Pack Their Bags
Old Dominion is riding high after a 45-10 thrashing of Georgia Southern, a performance so dominant, you’d think they practiced on the same field with the same playbook. Their star running back, Trequan Jones (697 rushing yards, 5 TDs), is healthy, and their defense ranks 27th in passing yards allowed (186.7 YPG). They’re not just good—they’re unrealistic.
Georgia State, meanwhile, is the NFL’s “Also Ran” of college football. At 1-10, their only wins this season were against teams that probably fielded a mix of walk-ons and confused grad students. Their QB, Cameran Brown, is competent (1,296 yards, 13 TDs, 1 INT), but even his 260 rushing yards can’t offset the fact that their defense allows 199.5 rushing yards per game. Old Dominion’s rushing attack (231 YPG, 7th in FBS) will treat Georgia State’s defense like a buffet.
The Humor: Why This Game is a Foregone Conclusion
Let’s be real: Georgia State’s chances are about as viable as a “surprise” birthday party for someone who hates surprises. Their 21.0 odds? That’s the price of a “bet” that’s more “tribute to the bookmakers’ mercy.”
- Old Dominion’s offense: “We’re not here to play football. We’re here to practice for the NFL.”
- Georgia State’s defense: “We’re not here to stop them. We’re here to provide a backdrop for the highlight reel.”
- The spread (-28.5): Even if Georgia State scores a touchdown on the opening drive, they’ll still lose by 21. So, congrats, you’ve technically covered the spread… if you’re betting on Old Dominion.
Prediction: Old Dominion Monarchs 42, Georgia State Panthers 14
This isn’t a game—it’s a coronation. Old Dominion’s balanced attack (23rd in rushing, 63rd in passing) will exploit Georgia State’s porous defense, and their red-hot offense will turn this into a track meet. Georgia State’s only hope is a mercy rule… which, unfortunately for them, doesn’t exist in NCAA football.
Final Verdict: Bet Old Dominion to cover the spread (-28.5) like they’re covering a textbook in a library. And if you’re a Georgia State fan? Maybe invest in a time machine. Or a new hobby.
“The only thing more certain than this outcome is gravity—and even gravity sometimes lets a football defy physics.” 🏈
Created: Nov. 29, 2025, 4:06 p.m. GMT