Prediction: GW Revolutionaries VS Florida Gators 2025-12-13

Florida Gators vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: A Rebounding Rumble with a Side of Three-Point Sorrow

Ladies and gentlemen, gather ‘round for a clash of titans—or, as the Gators might call it, “a warm-up against a team that’s accidentally wearing the wrong sport’s playbook.” The No. 18 Florida Gators (5-4) host the George Washington Revolutionaries (8-3) in a game that’s as much about geography as basketball: Why is a D.C. team playing in Florida? Is this a test of travel endurance? Either way, let’s dive into the numbers, because if this game were a movie, it’d be Rebound: The Musical.

Parsing the Odds: The Math of Mayhem
Florida enters as a 13.5- to 15.5-point favorite, with an over/under hovering around 163 points. On paper, this looks like a mismatch. The Gators dominate the glass (43.3 rebounds per game, led by Rueben Chinyelu’s 11.4 RPG), while George Washington’s offensive rebounding (10.4 RPG) is about as effective as a sieve made of tissue paper. Florida’s defense allows a mere 72.4 points per game, and their opponents shoot a paltry 40% from the field—like a team that’s never met a basketball they didn’t want to ignore.

But here’s the twist: Florida’s 3-point shooting is so abysmal (27.3%, 344th in the nation) it makes a toddler’s first attempts at soccer look professional. George Washington, meanwhile, shoots 49.1% from the field—9.1 percentage points better than Florida’s defense. If the Gators’ perimeter shooting doesn’t improve, this game could resemble a toddler’s birthday party: loud, chaotic, and full of air balls.

Digesting the News: Injuries, Name Changes, and a Loss to Delaware
Let’s start with the Gators. Point guard Jalen Fland had a rough outing against UConn: 23% from three, foul trouble, and a performance so lackluster it made a statue look like a Hall of Famer. Guard K.J. Haugh, though, has been a bright spot, averaging 23 points on 57.5% shooting against top-tier opponents. Meanwhile, center K.D. Johnson is a rebounding machine, pulling down 11 boards in his last game—enough to fill a IKEA catalog.

George Washington, now the “Revolutionaries” thanks to a name change that cost them more in rebranding than the American Revolution did in tea, brings a top-50 offense but a 195th-ranked defense. Their star, Rafael Castro, shoots 65% from the floor—like a man who’s never met a rim he didn’t trust. Backup guard Trey Autry is efficient inside (67% FG) but takes wild threes (40.9% from deep), which is either a skill or a cry for help. Oh, and their recent 70-58 loss to Delaware? That’s the basketball equivalent of a “glow-up” gone wrong.

The Humor: Because Sports Needs Laughs
Florida’s rebounding is so dominant, they could use their extra boards to build a fort and never leave. Their defense? Airtight enough to make a vacuum cleaner jealous. But their three-point shooting? Let’s just say if the Gators had a three-point contest, they’d need a bye just to qualify.

George Washington’s offense is like a well-oiled machine—until you realize the machine is a Rube Goldberg device designed to shoot free throws. Their defense, though? A sieve that’s been sieved for sieves. And their name change? Let’s not rewrite history: “Colonials” had character. Now they’re the “Revolutionaries,” which is just the old team but with more existential angst.

Prediction: Cover the Spread or Cover Your Eyes?
Despite Florida’s three-point woes, their rebounding dominance (+32.9 RPG vs. GW) and defensive efficiency (+88 scoring differential) make them a near-lock to win. George Washington’s offensive firepower (88.4 PPG) could keep the game closer than the spread suggests, especially if the Gators continue shooting like they’re aiming for the wrong basket.

Final Verdict: Bet the Florida Gators to cover the 13.5-point spread, but keep an eye on the over. With both teams averaging 170.6 combined points and the over/under at 163, this could be a shootout. Just don’t be surprised if Florida’s 3-point attempts turn this into a horror show.

“Stack wins, folks. And maybe invest in a rebound net for your porch—this game’s about to get bouncy.” 🏀💥

Created: Dec. 13, 2025, 7:14 p.m. GMT

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