Prediction: Indiana Hoosiers VS Purdue Boilermakers 2025-11-28
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: A Rivalry as Lopsided as a Pancake
The Indiana Hoosiers (11-0, 8-0 Big Ten) and Purdue Boilermakers (2-9, 0-8) meet on November 28 in a clash that’s less of a football game and more of a math exam. Indiana, the nation’s second-ranked team, is favored by 28.5 points—a spread so vast it could fit the entire Purdue offense inside and still have room for a halftime snack. The moneyline? A comically lopsided -10,000 for Indiana, implying bookmakers think Purdue’s chances of winning are about as likely as a snowstorm in July… in Miami.
Parsing the Odds: A Statistical Car Wash for Purdue
Let’s crunch the numbers. Indiana’s offense is a well-oiled combine harvester: QB Fernando Mendoza has thrown 30 touchdowns (tying the FBS lead) while completing 73% of his passes. His top targets, Omar Cooper Jr. and Elijah Sarratt (returning from injury), each have 10 TDs. The Hoosiers average 43.3 points per game, and their defense? They’ve held opponents to a collective 10 points in their last two games.
Purdue, meanwhile, is a statistical ghost. Their defense ranks near the bottom of the FBS, surrendering 502 total yards in a recent 49-13 loss to Washington. Under first-year coach Barry Odom, they’re experimenting with a two-QB system (Ryan Browne and Malachi Singleton), which sounds exciting until you realize their offense resembles a game of Jenga—unstable, chaotic, and likely to collapse. The Over/Under for this game is 53.5 points, and with Indiana’s scoring frenzy and Purdue’s porous defense, the Over is a near-certainty.
News.digest: Hoosiers Healing, Boilermakers Boiling
Indiana’s return of WR Elijah Sarratt and DL Mikail Kamara is like adding a turbocharger to a rocket. Sarratt’s speed stretches defenses, while Kamara’s presence on defense could finally give Purdue’s offense something to worry about… if they weren’t already. Coach Curt Cignetti’s “next game up” mantra is less a philosophy and more a survival tactic—can you imagine what happens if they do look ahead? “We’d probably forget how to tie our shoes,” joked Cignetti, though he might not be joking.
Purdue’s Barry Odom, meanwhile, is trying to rebuild a program that’s lost nine straight games. His “foundation of the core” speech sounds inspiring in a press release but less so when your team’s last win was in March 2024 (against Nebraska, 38-31—a game that now feels like ancient history). The Boilermakers’ two-QB system is a Hail Mary in a game they’re already losing, and their “flow of the game” approach is about as effective as a screen door on a submarine.
The Verdict: A Hoosier Hoedown in West Lafayette
Let’s get absurd for a second. Imagine Purdue’s defense as a colander. Water (i.e., Indiana’s offense) poured into it would exit immediately, leaving nothing but a soggy mess. Indiana’s offense, meanwhile, is a firehose set to “full blast.” The result? A game that’ll make Purdue’s 49-13 loss to Washington look like a close contest.
The Hoosiers’ only path to the Big Ten Championship is either a win here or a miracle involving Ohio State losing to Michigan. Given Indiana’s dominance—remember their 66-0 thrashing of Purdue last year?—this isn’t a “if” game. It’s a “by how much?” game.
Final Prediction: Indiana 44, Purdue 14
Why Bet Indiana -28.5? Because the spread is basically a 29-point mercy rule. Purdue’s only hope is to score a touchdown, but even that feels optimistic. Take the Over 53.5, too—Indiana’s offense is so prolific, they’ll likely hit the Under/Over number by halftime.
In the end, this game is less about football and more about Indiana flexing their way into the College Football Playoff. As for Purdue? They’ll keep chasing relevance like a dog chasing a car—it’s entertaining, but nobody’s winning the race.
Prediction: Indiana 44, Purdue 14. Bet the Hoosiers, and maybe bring a towel for the Boilermakers—they’ll need it to mop up the embarrassment. 🏈
Created: Nov. 28, 2025, 10 p.m. GMT