Prediction: IUPUI Jaguars VS Ohio State Buckeyes 2025-11-03

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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. IUPUI Jaguars: A One-Sided Ode to Over/Under

Ladies and gentlemen, gather ‘round for a tale of sheer dominance and tragic inevitability. Tonight, the Ohio State Buckeyes (17-15 last season, 11-6 at home) host the IUPUI Jaguars (10-22 overall, 4-12 on the road) in a basketball game that’s basically a math test disguised as sports. Let’s break it down with the precision of a stat geek and the humor of a guy who once bet his lunch money on a frog to hop.

Parse the Odds: A Spread So Bold, It Needs a Confidence Interval
The betting lines scream “free points, buddy!” Ohio State is favored by 29.5 to 30.5 points across bookmakers, with decimal odds hovering around 1.91-1.95 for the Buckeyes. For context, that’s an implied probability of ~67-69% for Ohio State to cover the spread. Meanwhile, IUPUI’s moneyline odds are a comical +34.0 to +46.0, which means bookmakers would pay you $46 for every $1 bet if the Jaguars somehow pull off a miracle. (Spoiler: They won’t. Miracles require practice.)

The total is set at 159.5 points, with slightly better value on the Over (1.87-1.93 odds) than the Under. Given Ohio State’s 78.8 PPG average last season and IUPUI’s porous 76.8 PPG defense, this game might as well be a points-for-fun contest.

Digest the News: A Tale of Two Teams
Ohio State: The Buckeyes enter with the resume of a team that barely remembers how to lose at home. Their 11-6 home record last season was buoyed by a lethal 24.6 points per game from beyond the arc—imagine a team that shoots like Steph Curry’s ghost is coaching their three-point line. Key returners include their sharpshooting guards, who’ll treat IUPUI’s defense like a soft-serve ice cream cone: penetrated, melted, and left in a puddle of regret.

IUPUI: The Jaguars, meanwhile, are the definition of “here today, gone tomorrow—and probably not here tomorrow either.” A 4-12 road record? That’s worse than a toddler’s nap schedule. Their 76.8 PPG allowed last season? That’s like leaving the front door unlocked in a jewelry store. Oh, and their offense? A paltry 76.8 PPG themselves. If basketball had a “most likely to get steamrolled” award, IUPUI would be the ceremonial gavel.

Humorous Spin: When Physics Meets Basketball
Let’s get absurd. Ohio State’s offense is a firehose; IUPUI’s defense is a colander. You wouldn’t ask a colander to stop a firehose, unless your goal is to create a tragicomic art installation. The 30-point spread? That’s the margin of error for how many points Ohio State will score before halftime.

Imagine the Jaguars’ strategy: “Let’s play tight defense… for about 12 seconds before realizing we’re outmatched by a team that probably practices against robot defenders.” Their best hope? Maybe a time machine to play this game in 2005, when basketball still had a chance.

Prediction: A Statistical Certainty With a Side of Sarcasm
Ohio State will win this game by 30+ points, rendering the spread a mere formality. The Over 159.5 is a lock if you define “lock” as “mathematically probable unless a global blackout occurs.” For IUPUI fans, this is a chance to practice their “graceful defeat” faces. For Buckeye fans? It’s a dress rehearsal for the NCAA tournament, where they’ll need this level of dominance to justify their seed.

Final Verdict: Bet Ohio State -30.5 and the Over 159.5. If you’re feeling spicy, throw in a prop bet on how many times IUPUI will call a timeout in the second half—we predict “enough to make the clock run out on dignity.”

Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is, however, a masterclass in why you should never bet on IUPUI. 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 3, 2025, 9:13 a.m. GMT

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