Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats VS Utah Utes 2025-11-22
Utah Utes vs. Kansas State Wildcats: A Statistical Slaughter or a Gritty Upset?
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a mismatch that reads like a math textbook written by a sadist. The Utah Utes (8-2) host the Kansas State Wildcats (5-5) on November 22, 2025, in a game that bookmakers have all but decided for us. The odds? Utah is a 91% favorite (decimal odds: 1.12), while Kansas State is a 15% long shot (odds: 6.5). If this were a dating app, Utah would have 10,000 matches and Kansas State would be left swiping right into the void.
The Numbers: Why Utah’s Defense Could Use a Nap
Utah’s defense is so dominant, it makes a Swiss Army knife look lazy. They lead the FBS in rushing defense (278.4 YPG allowed) and rank 10th in total defense. Their scoring offense (41.1 PPG) is sixth in the nation—imagine scoring like this while your opponent’s offense is still tying their shoes. Kansas State, meanwhile, ranks 92nd in total offense (354.1 YPG) and 109th in time of possession (28:31). Their recent 14-6 win over Oklahoma State was less a football game and more a tense hostage situation.
Key stat: Utah’s defense allows 15.6 points per game. Kansas State’s offense? They’re scoring at a 25.5 PPG clip. It’s like pitting a Ferrari against a bicycle that’s also carrying a boulder.
The News: Star Power vs. Survival Mode
Utah’s offense is led by Devon Dampier, who’s thrown for 1,668 yards and 17 TDs, and Wayshawn Parker, who’s rushing for 736 yards. Their most recent game? A 55-28 dismantling of Baylor where Dampier and the offense looked like they were playing a different sport. Kansas State’s Avery Johnson (2,163 YPG, 17 TDs) and Joe Jackson (476 rushing yards) are decent, but their last game—a 14-6 win over Oklahoma State—felt less like football and more like a “survive and advance” thriller.
A funny aside: Kansas State’s time of possession (28:31) is so low, their players probably spend the second half in the locker room napping. Utah’s offense, meanwhile, is so efficient, they’d probably score 40 points just to keep the crowd entertained.
The Spread: A 16.5-Point Gift?
The line has Utah as -16.5 favorites, which is basically the sportsbooks saying, “Utah’s gonna win, and they’re gonna do it while wearing training wheels.” For Kansas State to cover, they’d need to either A) invent a time machine to improve their 2025 season or B) have Utah’s starters take a sudden interest in professional wrestling.
The total is set at 52.5 points, which is generous given Utah’s defense and Kansas State’s offense. If this game goes under, it’ll be because Utah’s defense will have the Wildcats so flustered, they’ll forget how to score.
Prediction: A Utesmasterpiece
Utah wins this game by 20+ points, likely scoring 35+ while holding Kansas State to single digits. The Wildcats’ best hope is to hope Dampier sprains his ankle juggling postgame interviews. But let’s be real: Utah’s defense is the Swiss Army knife of football, and Kansas State’s offense is a wet noodle.
Final Score Prediction: Utah 38, Kansas State 10.
Unless Kansas State’s players have secretly been training with circus acrobats (and not the “former circus acrobat” level but the “we’re about to perform the impossible” level), this is a one-way street. Bet on Utah, unless you’re a masochist who enjoys watching teams try to outrun a bullet with a deflated tire.
Created: Nov. 17, 2025, 6:56 p.m. GMT