Prediction: Kennesaw St Owls VS Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 2025-12-17

Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee: A Three-Pointed Dance of Defense and Dunks

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a showdown where Kennesaw State’s explosive offense meets Middle Tennessee’s three-point artillery. Let’s break this down with the precision of a coach’s whiteboard and the humor of a locker room joke.

Parse the Odds: Who’s the Favorite?
The books are screaming Middle Tennessee as a 4-point favorite, with decimal odds hovering around 1.54 to 1.60 (implied probability: 60-65%). Kennesaw State, meanwhile, sits at 2.40-2.50 (implied 40-42%). The total is locked at 160.5 points, suggesting this could be a shootout. But here’s the rub: Kennesaw State literally scored 121 points in their last game. If that’s their “slow start,” Middle Tennessee better bring a fire extinguisher.

Statistically, Middle Tennessee’s 9.7 made threes per game (2.4 more than Kennesaw allows) is their secret weapon. The Blue Raiders shoot 37.8% from deep—good for second in Conference USA. Kennesaw, meanwhile, relies on brute force: they outscore opponents by 23.9 PPG, led by Simeon Cottle’s 20 PPG and 3.5 threes per game. But here’s the punchline: Middle Tennessee’s defense isn’t exactly the Great Wall of China. They allow 73.3 PPG, which is about as effective as a sieve in a monsoon.

Digest the News: Injuries, Home-Court Advantage, and Other Plot Twists
Middle Tennessee is 3-1 at home this season, which is impressive until you realize their “toughest” home opponent was a team called “The Team That Forgot How to Play Defense.” Their 1-0 record in close games? Probably because their opponents decided to take the week off after halftime.

Kennesaw State, on the other hand, is 2-0 on the road, which is less of a feat when you consider their last road game was a 121-66 thrashing of Southern Wesleyan. Let’s be real: That game wasn’t close. It was a mercy rule waiting to happen. Trey Simpson’s 26-point explosion? More like a fireworks show with a side of embarrassment for the opposition.

Humorous Spin: Because Sports Analysis Needs Laughter
Middle Tennessee’s three-pointers are so automatic, they might as well be pre-programmed like a coffee maker. If they keep shooting like this, they’ll start dribbling from half-court just to get in an extra warmup. Kennesaw’s defense? It’s so porous, they’d let a gentle breeze score a layup. Imagine telling their coach, “Hey, can we work on defense?” He’d reply, “We’re working on it—right after we finish the group project for ‘How to Let Everyone Score.’”

And let’s not forget Kennesaw’s offense, which is like a food coma in human form. They scored 121 points last game—enough to make Michael Jordan blush. If they keep this up, they’ll need a second halftime to recover.

Prediction: Who Wins?
Middle Tennessee’s home-court advantage, three-point prowess, and Kennesaw’s leaky defense make them the logical pick. The Blue Raiders’ 37.8% shooting from deep directly counters Kennesaw’s reliance on scoring volume. Plus, with a 4-point spread, the books think this is a closer game than a TikTok argument about pineapple on pizza.

But here’s the kicker: Kennesaw’s offense is so explosive they could still pull an upset if Middle Tennessee’s defense decides to take a coffee break. However, given the odds, stats, and the fact that Middle Tennessee’s home record is better than my ability to parallel park, I’ll take the Blue Raiders by 6.

Final Score Prediction: Middle Tennessee 82, Kennesaw State 76.

And if Kennesaw somehow wins? Consider it the day a turtle beats Usain Bolt—in theory, possible. In practice? Not today, folks.

Created: Dec. 17, 2025, 10:01 p.m. GMT

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