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Prediction: LIU Sharks VS IUPUI Jaguars 2025-11-06

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IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs. LIU Sharks: A Tale of Two Teams with Nothing to Lose

The IU Indianapolis Jaguars (0-1) and Long Island University Sharks (0-1) are set to clash in a season opener that reads like a rejected sitcom pilot: “Two teams start 0-1, one court, and a total line that makes no sense.” Let’s break this down with the precision of a coach’s film session and the humor of a player trying to explain why they missed a layup.


Parsing the Odds: A Math Problem Dressed as a Game
The Jaguars, fresh off an 118-102 loss to Ohio State where Kameron Tinsley dropped 22 points, are the clear favorites. Bookmakers back them at decimal odds of 1.62-1.67 (implied probability: ~60-62%), while the Sharks sit at 2.2-2.3 (~43-45%). The spread is a modest IUPUI -2.5 to -3, suggesting a tight game.

But here’s where things get weird: The total line is set at 184.5 points, which would require both teams to shoot like Steph Curry in a layup line. Last season, IUPUI averaged 75.1 PPG, and LIU… well, their 53.4 PPG (if that’s even their real stat) would make them the NBA’s Boban Marjanović—present but statistically baffling. Either the total line is a typo, or we’re witnessing the dawn of a new, hyper-offensive era in college basketball. For now, we’ll assume the Under is a trap and the Over is a math error.


Team News: Injuries, Bench Woes, and a GPS That Hates LIU
- IU Indianapolis: Kameron Tinsley is their star, and while he’s off to a strong start, the Jaguars’ 6-8 home record last season suggests their fans might need a reminder that “home-court advantage” doesn’t mean “home-court guarantee.” Their free-throw shooting (14.6 PPG from the stripe) is like a team that treats the line as a suggestion.
- LIU Sharks: This team is the definition of “journeyman road trip.” Last season, they went 0-15 on the road, a record that makes a GPS navigation system weep. Their bench contributes just 3.5 points per game, which is about as helpful as a teammate who “accidentally” forgets to show up. Oh, and their 53.4 PPG average? That’s the offensive output of a team that treats basketball like a very slow game of keep-away.


The Humor: Why This Game Feels Like a Bad Date
- LIU’s Road Struggles: If the Sharks played their games on a treadmill, they’d still have a better chance of winning. Their road record is so惨 that their bus probably has a “No refunds” sticker on the seat.
- IUPUI’s Free-Throw Futility: Scoring 14.6 points from the free-throw line is like getting a participation trophy for darts—technically points, but not the kind that win you a game.
- The Total Line: 184.5 points? This isn’t basketball; it’s a Netflix marathon. If these teams combined for that many points, the halftime snack budget would need a loan from the NBA.


Prediction: A Jaguars Win, But Not Without Drama
Despite LIU’s historic road struggles, IUPUI’s home-court inconsistency (6-8 last season) means they’ll need to channel their inner “Monday Night Football” booth—intense, slightly unhinged, and hoping for a last-second Hail Mary. Kameron Tinsley’s 22-point performance against Ohio State shows flashes of brilliance, but the Sharks’ porous defense (see: allowing 75+ PPG) suggests they’ll be a sieve.

Final Verdict: Bet on the IUPUI Jaguars + Under 184.5. The Jaguars’ offense will sputter, LIU’s bench will contribute 3.5 points total, and the final score will be a paltry 75-53—a total of 128 points that makes the “Over” line look like a joke. Cover the spread with a Jaguars win by 7-9 points, and maybe tip your cap to the bookmakers for setting a total that could power a small country.

Go Jaguars, or go home—preferably not on a bus with LIU’s GPS. 🏀

Created: Nov. 6, 2025, 5:36 p.m. GMT

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